Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone activity

Figure 3.20

This figure appears in chapter 3 of the Our Changing Planet: The U.S. Global Change Research Program for Fiscal Year 2016 report.

http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00158.1

Warm colors on this map show where output from NOAA’s GFDL-FLOR model correlates positively (yellow = strongest correlation) with seasonal observations of tropical cyclone activity, demonstrating the model’s capacity for predicting such phenomena. (Source: Adapted from Vecchi et al., 2014)

When citing this figure, please reference Adapted from Figure 5 of this paper: Vecchi, G.A., T. Delworth, R. Gudgel, S. Kapnick, A. Rosati, A.T. Wittenberg, F. Zeng, W. Anderson, V. Balaji, K. Dixon, L. Jia, H.-S. Kim, L. Krishnamurthy, R. Msadek, W.F. Stern, S.D. Underwood, G. Villarini, X. Yang, and S. Zhang. 2014. On the seasonal forecasting of regional tropical cyclone activity. Journal of Climate 27 (21), 7994–8016.

The spatial range for this figure is 0° to 55° latitude, and 100° to 20° longitude.

This figure was derived from On the seasonal forecasting of regional tropical cyclone activity .

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