---
attributes: ~
caption: 'This map shows projected changes in the annual frequency of tropical cyclone formation, averaged from the output of seven models, under the combined conditions of 1) a 2°C increase in sea surface temperatures, and 2) a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations relative to the present day. Dots denote areas where at least five of the seven models agree on the direction (increase or decrease) of the change in frequency. Although localized increases are projected, the models point to an overall global decrease in the formation of tropical cyclones. (Source: Zhao et al., 2013)'
chapter:
  description: ~
  display_name: 'Chapter 3: Crosscutting Priorities to Serve Science and Society '
  doi: ~
  identifier: crosscutting-priorities-serve-science-society
  number: 3
  report_identifier: usgcrp-ocpfy2016
  sort_key: 30
  title: 'Crosscutting Priorities to Serve Science and Society '
  url: ~
chapter_identifier: crosscutting-priorities-serve-science-society
cited_by: []
contributors: []
create_dt: ~
description: 'This map shows projected changes in the annual frequency of tropical cyclone formation, averaged from the output of seven models, under the combined conditions of 1) a 2°C increase in sea surface temperatures, and 2) a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations relative to the present day. Dots denote areas where at least five of the seven models agree on the direction (increase or decrease) of the change in frequency. Although localized increases are projected, the models point to an overall global decrease in the formation of tropical cyclones. (Source: Zhao et al., 2013)'
display_name: '3.18: Future change in hurricane frequency'
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href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/usgcrp-ocpfy2016/chapter/crosscutting-priorities-serve-science-society/figure/future-change-hurricane-frequency.yaml
identifier: future-change-hurricane-frequency
images:
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    identifier: 95f1a71f-70ae-4252-bf61-f21b34eb2d7b
    lat_max: 40
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    title: Future change in hurricane frequency
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    usage_limits: Copyright protected. Obtain permission from the original figure source.
kindred_figures: []
lat_max: 40
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ordinal: 18
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references: []
report:
  display_name: 'Our Changing Planet: The U.S. Global Change Research Program for Fiscal Year 2016'
report_identifier: usgcrp-ocpfy2016
source_citation: 'Figure 3 of paper: Zhao, M., I.M. Held, G. Vecchi, E. Scoccimarro, H. Wang, M. Wehner, Y.-K. Lim, T. LaRow, S.J. Camargo, K. Walsh, S. Gualdi, A. Kumar, and S. Schubert. 2013. Robust direct effect of increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration on global tropical cyclone frequency - a multi-model inter-comparison. CLIVAR Variations 11, 17–23'
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title: Future change in hurricane frequency
type: figure
uri: /report/usgcrp-ocpfy2016/chapter/crosscutting-priorities-serve-science-society/figure/future-change-hurricane-frequency
url: 'http://www.usclivar.org/sites/default/files/USCLIVAR_VARIATIONS_11_3_Fall2013.pdf#page=17 '
usage_limits: Copyright protected. Obtain permission from the original figure source.