--- - attributes: ~ caption: 'This graph shows projected impacts of climate change on crop productivity (darker blue) and related agricultural and economic responses. Black dots indicate the average percent change in each variable by 2050, relative to no climate change; the height of each column shows the range of results across climate, crop, and economic models. These results represent global averages for major field crops including wheat, rice, coarse grains, and oil seeds. (Credit: Adapted from Nelson et al., 2014, PNAS)' chapter_identifier: leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs create_dt: ~ href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/usgcrp-ocpfy2015/chapter/leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs/figure/modeling-climate-impacts-agricultural-sector.yaml identifier: modeling-climate-impacts-agricultural-sector lat_max: ~ lat_min: ~ lon_max: ~ lon_min: ~ ordinal: 1 report_identifier: usgcrp-ocpfy2015 source_citation: 'Nelson, G. C., et al. (2014) Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks. PNAS, 111, 9, 3274-3279. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1222465110. Adapted by Ron Sands (U.S. Department of Agriculture Economic Research Service) and USGCRP' submission_dt: 2013-12-16T00:00:00 time_end: ~ time_start: ~ title: Modeling Climate Impacts on the Agricultural Sector uri: /report/usgcrp-ocpfy2015/chapter/leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs/figure/modeling-climate-impacts-agricultural-sector url: ~ usage_limits: 'Copyright protected. Obtain permission from the original figure source. ' - attributes: ~ caption: 'The Transboundary Flathead River Watershed, home to key trout and salmon species, extends from British Columbia into Montana. (Credit: G. Lenz, USGS)' chapter_identifier: leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs create_dt: 2012-09-05T00:00:00 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/usgcrp-ocpfy2015/chapter/leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs/figure/flathead-river-watershed.yaml identifier: flathead-river-watershed lat_max: ~ lat_min: ~ lon_max: ~ lon_min: ~ ordinal: 2 report_identifier: usgcrp-ocpfy2015 source_citation: 'Lenz, G. (2012). BC-MT Memorandum of Understanding Transboundary Flathead Workplan - Aquatic Focus [Workshop]. Retrieved from http://greatnorthernlcc.org/sites/default/files/documents/090512_bcmt_transbxflathead_mou_workplanmtg_summary.pdf' submission_dt: ~ time_end: ~ time_start: ~ title: Flathead River Watershed uri: /report/usgcrp-ocpfy2015/chapter/leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs/figure/flathead-river-watershed url: ~ usage_limits: Free to use with credit to the original figure source. - attributes: ~ caption: 'An example of a climate change indicator: variation in Antarctic land ice mass over time. (Credit: NASA) ' chapter_identifier: leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs create_dt: ~ href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/usgcrp-ocpfy2015/chapter/leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs/figure/example-climate-indicator-land-ice.yaml identifier: example-climate-indicator-land-ice lat_max: ~ lat_min: ~ lon_max: ~ lon_min: ~ ordinal: 3 report_identifier: usgcrp-ocpfy2015 source_citation: 'Credit: NASA (http://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/land-ice/)' submission_dt: ~ time_end: ~ time_start: ~ title: 'Example Climate Indicator: Land Ice ' uri: /report/usgcrp-ocpfy2015/chapter/leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs/figure/example-climate-indicator-land-ice url: ~ usage_limits: Free to use with credit to the original figure source. - attributes: ~ caption: 'The NMME (yellow column) is a seasonal forecasting system that combines individual models (purple columns N1-N6) to produce more accurate predictions of climate. In forecasts of precipitation (top two panels) and temperature (bottom two panels)— key factors for predicting drought—the NMME performs better than any of the individual models. The NMME’s better performance is indicated by the heights of the bars, which show performance relative to a reference forecast. (Credit: Adapted from results by E. Wood, Princeton University)' chapter_identifier: leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs create_dt: ~ href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/usgcrp-ocpfy2015/chapter/leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs/figure/better-seasonal-forecasts-multi-model-ensemble.yaml identifier: better-seasonal-forecasts-multi-model-ensemble lat_max: ~ lat_min: ~ lon_max: ~ lon_min: ~ ordinal: 4 report_identifier: usgcrp-ocpfy2015 source_citation: 'Eric Wood, Princeton (2014). Adapted by Dan Barrie (NOAA)' submission_dt: ~ time_end: ~ time_start: ~ title: Better Seasonal Forecasts with a Multi-Model Ensemble uri: /report/usgcrp-ocpfy2015/chapter/leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs/figure/better-seasonal-forecasts-multi-model-ensemble url: ~ usage_limits: 'Copyright protected. Obtain permission from the original figure source. ' - attributes: ~ caption: 'Flooding in Jakarta in 2013. (Credit: U.S. Embassy in Indonesia)' chapter_identifier: leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs create_dt: 2013-01-17T00:00:00 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/usgcrp-ocpfy2015/chapter/leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs/figure/flooding-affects-coastal-megacity.yaml identifier: flooding-affects-coastal-megacity lat_max: ~ lat_min: ~ lon_max: ~ lon_min: ~ ordinal: 5 report_identifier: usgcrp-ocpfy2015 source_citation: 'Credit: Embassy of the United States in Jakarta, Indonesia' submission_dt: ~ time_end: ~ time_start: ~ title: Flooding Affects a Coastal Megacity uri: /report/usgcrp-ocpfy2015/chapter/leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs/figure/flooding-affects-coastal-megacity url: ~ usage_limits: Free to use with credit to the original figure source. - attributes: ~ caption: 'Planning for climate impacts is crucial to protecting the Caribbean’s agriculture- and tourism-based economy. (Credit: K. Helmer, USAID/Haiti) ' chapter_identifier: leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs create_dt: 2010-10-06T00:00:00 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/usgcrp-ocpfy2015/chapter/leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs/figure/climate-impacts-caribbean.yaml identifier: climate-impacts-caribbean lat_max: ~ lat_min: ~ lon_max: ~ lon_min: ~ ordinal: 6 report_identifier: usgcrp-ocpfy2015 source_citation: 'Photo copyright Kendra Helmer, USAID/Haiti' submission_dt: ~ time_end: ~ time_start: ~ title: Climate Impacts in the Caribbean uri: /report/usgcrp-ocpfy2015/chapter/leveraging-global-change-research-societal-needs/figure/climate-impacts-caribbean url: ~ usage_limits: Free to use with credit to the original figure source.