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reference : Mechanistic and statistical models of total Vibrio abundance in the Neuse River Estuary

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Mechanistic and statistical models of total Vibrio abundance in the Neuse River Estuary
Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract Bacteria in the genus Vibrio are ubiquitous to estuarine waters worldwide and are often the dominant genus recovered from these environments. This genus contains several potentially pathogenic species, including Vibrio vulnificus, Vibrio cholerae, Vibrio parahaemolyticus, and Vibrio alginolyticus. These bacteria have short generation times, as low as 20-30 min, and can thus respond rapidly to changing environmental conditions. A five-parameter mechanistic model was generated based on environmental processes including hydrodynamics, growth, and death rates of Vibrio bacteria to predict total Vibrio abundance in the Neuse River Estuary of eastern North Carolina. Additionally an improved statistical model was developed using the easily monitored parameters of temperature and salinity. This updated model includes data that covers more than eight years of constant bacterial monitoring, and incorporates extreme weather events such as droughts, storms, and floods. These models can be used to identify days in which bacterial abundance might coincide with increased health risks.
Author Froelich, B.; Bowen, J.; Gonzalez, R.; Snedeker, A.; Noble, R.
DOI 10.1016/j.watres.2013.06.050
Date Oct 1
ISSN 1879-2448
Issue 15
Journal Water Research
Keywords *Models, Statistical; Rivers/*microbiology; Temperature; Vibrio/*physiology; Forecast; ModMon; Monitoring; Salinity
Language eng
Notes 1879-2448 Froelich, Brett Bowen, James Gonzalez, Raul Snedeker, Alexandra Noble, Rachel Journal Article Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. England Water Res. 2013 Oct 1;47(15):5783-93. doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2013.06.050. Epub 2013 Jul 11.
Pages 5783-5793
Title Mechanistic and statistical models of total Vibrio abundance in the Neuse River Estuary
Volume 47
Year 2013
Bibliographic identifiers
.reference_type 0
_record_number 19050
_uuid 30bf63e2-100d-4aa8-b90f-4fe88523fbb1