--- - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Objectives. We sought to project future impacts of climate change on summer heat-related premature deaths in the New York City metropolitan region.; Methods. Current and future climates were simulated over the northeastern United States with a global-to-regional climate modeling system. Summer heat-related premature deaths in the 1990s and 2050s were estimated by using a range of scenarios and approaches to modeling acclimatization (e.g., increased use of air conditioning, gradual physiological adaptation).; Results. Projected regional increases in heat-related premature mortality by the 2050s ranged from 47% to 95%, with a mean 70% increase compared with the 1990s. Acclimatization effects reduced regional increases in summer heat-related premature mortality by about 25%. Local impacts varied considerably across the region, with urban counties showing greater numbers of deaths and smaller percentage increases than less-urbanized counties.; Conclusions. Although considerable uncertainty exists in climate forecasts and future health vulnerability, the range of projections we developed suggests that by midcentury, acclimatization may not completely mitigate the effects of climate change in the New York City metropolitan region, which would result in an overall net increase in heat-related premature mortality.' Alternate Journal: Am J Public Health Author: "Knowlton, K.\rLynn, B.\rGoldberg, R. A.\rRosenzweig, C.\rHogrefe, C.\rRosenthal, J. K.\rKinney, P. L." Author Address: 'Knowlton, K; Columbia Univ, Nat Resources Drf Council, 40 W 20th St, New York, NY 10011 USA; Columbia Univ, Nat Resources Drf Council, 40 W 20th St, New York, NY 10011 USA; Columbia Univ, Mailman Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth Sci, New York, NY USA; Columbia Univ, Ctr Climate Syst Res, Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY USA; SUNY Albany, Atmospher Sci Res Ctr, Albany, NY 12222 USA; Columbia Univ, Grad Sch Architecture Planning & Preservat, New York, NY USA' DOI: 10.2105/Ajph.2006.102947 Date: Nov ISSN: 0090-0036 Issue: 11 Journal: American Journal of Public Health Keywords: eastern united-states; us cities; air-pollution; time-series; temperature; wave; chicago; deaths; health; model Language: English Notes: 225AJ; Times Cited:29; Cited References Count:47 Pages: 2028-2034 Title: Projecting heat-related mortality impacts under a changing climate in the New York City region URL: http://ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/pdf/10.2105/AJPH.2006.102947 Volume: 97 Year: 2007 _chapter: '["Ch. 16: Northeast FINAL"]' _record_number: 1339 _uuid: 04f852ec-7b1e-4fd0-a517-283b25468694 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.2105/Ajph.2006.102947 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/04f852ec-7b1e-4fd0-a517-283b25468694.yaml identifier: 04f852ec-7b1e-4fd0-a517-283b25468694 uri: /reference/04f852ec-7b1e-4fd0-a517-283b25468694 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) ISSN: 1545-861X Issue: 25 Journal: Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report PMID: 8208234 Pages: 453-455 Title: 'Heat-related deaths--Philadelphia and United States, 1993-1994' URL: http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/00031773.htm Volume: 43 Year: 1994 _record_number: 16503 _uuid: 06eb9926-61e9-4923-9fa8-12f648862c3c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/pmid-8208234 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/06eb9926-61e9-4923-9fa8-12f648862c3c.yaml identifier: 06eb9926-61e9-4923-9fa8-12f648862c3c uri: /reference/06eb9926-61e9-4923-9fa8-12f648862c3c - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Jones, T. Stephen; Liang, Arthur P.; Kilbourne, Edwin M.; Griffin, Marie R.; Patriarca, Peter A.; Fite Wassilak, Steven G.; Mullan, Robert J.; Herrick, Robert F.; Donnell, Denny, Jr.; Choi, Keewhan; Thacker, Stephen B.' DOI: 10.1001/jama.1982.03320490025030 ISSN: 0098-7484 Issue: 24 Journal: 'JAMA: The Journal of the American Medical Association' Pages: 3327-3331 Title: 'Morbidity and mortality associated with the July 1980 heat wave in St Louis and Kansas City, Mo' Volume: 247 Year: 1982 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 17602 _uuid: 0e7a4a5c-61f9-41e0-9595-a1a14dc10d58 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1001/jama.1982.03320490025030 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/0e7a4a5c-61f9-41e0-9595-a1a14dc10d58.yaml identifier: 0e7a4a5c-61f9-41e0-9595-a1a14dc10d58 uri: /reference/0e7a4a5c-61f9-41e0-9595-a1a14dc10d58 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Barreca, Alan I.' DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2011.07.004 ISSN: 1096-0449 Issue: 1 Journal: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management Pages: 19-34 Title: 'Climate change, humidity, and mortality in the United States' Volume: 63 Year: 2012 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 17586 _uuid: 14e7930d-648f-4a7a-a41d-2eb61b7f9894 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.jeem.2011.07.004 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/14e7930d-648f-4a7a-a41d-2eb61b7f9894.yaml identifier: 14e7930d-648f-4a7a-a41d-2eb61b7f9894 uri: /reference/14e7930d-648f-4a7a-a41d-2eb61b7f9894 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Ostro, B.\rRauch, S.\rGreen, R.\rMalig, B.\rBasu, R." DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwq231 ISSN: 0002-9262 Issue: 9 Journal: American Journal of Epidemiology Pages: 1053-1061 Title: The effects of temperature and use of air conditioning on hospitalizations URL: http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/content/172/9/1053.full.pdf+html Volume: 172 Year: 2010 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","Appendix 1: Process FINAL"]' _record_number: 2381 _uuid: 176b5759-b07b-4209-b8ff-8c55768c6aee reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/aje/kwq231 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/176b5759-b07b-4209-b8ff-8c55768c6aee.yaml identifier: 176b5759-b07b-4209-b8ff-8c55768c6aee uri: /reference/176b5759-b07b-4209-b8ff-8c55768c6aee - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Honda, Yasushi; Kondo, Masahide; McGregor, Glenn; Kim, Ho; Guo, Yue-Leon; Hijioka, Yasuaki; Yoshikawa, Minoru; Oka, Kazutaka; Takano, Saneyuki; Hales, Simon; Kovats, R. Sari' DOI: 10.1007/s12199-013-0354-6 ISSN: 1347-4715 Issue: 1 Journal: Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine Pages: 56-63 Title: Heat-related mortality risk model for climate change impact projection Volume: 19 Year: 2014 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 16113 _uuid: 18e73954-8b13-4c4a-acd1-9687b8d811d2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s12199-013-0354-6 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/18e73954-8b13-4c4a-acd1-9687b8d811d2.yaml identifier: 18e73954-8b13-4c4a-acd1-9687b8d811d2 uri: /reference/18e73954-8b13-4c4a-acd1-9687b8d811d2 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Anderson, B.G.\rBell, M.L." DOI: 10.1097/EDE.0b013e318190ee08 ISSN: 1044-3983 Issue: 2 Journal: Epidemiology Pages: 205-213 Title: 'Weather-related mortality: How heat, cold, and heat waves affect mortality in the United States' Volume: 20 Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 1799 _uuid: 199eb13a-09ce-4af0-bc70-e26881a28c33 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1097/EDE.0b013e318190ee08 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/199eb13a-09ce-4af0-bc70-e26881a28c33.yaml identifier: 199eb13a-09ce-4af0-bc70-e26881a28c33 uri: /reference/199eb13a-09ce-4af0-bc70-e26881a28c33 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Uejio, C.K.\rWilhelmi, O.V.\rGolden, J.S.\rMills, D.M.\rGulino, S.P.\rSamenow, J.P." DOI: 10.1016/j.healthplace.2010.12.005 ISSN: 1353-8292 Issue: 2 Journal: Health & Place Pages: 498-507 Title: 'Intra-urban societal vulnerability to extreme heat: The role of heat exposure and the built environment, socioeconomics, and neighborhood stability' Volume: 17 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 3183 _uuid: 1aca1900-c64c-4624-a696-3aab59ba6673 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.healthplace.2010.12.005 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/1aca1900-c64c-4624-a696-3aab59ba6673.yaml identifier: 1aca1900-c64c-4624-a696-3aab59ba6673 uri: /reference/1aca1900-c64c-4624-a696-3aab59ba6673 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Gosling, Simon N.; McGregor, Glenn R.; Lowe, Jason A.' DOI: 10.1007/s00484-008-0189-9 ISSN: 1432-1254 Issue: 1 Journal: International Journal of Biometeorology Pages: 31-51 Title: 'Climate change and heat-related mortality in six cities Part 2: Climate model evaluation and projected impacts from changes in the mean and variability of temperature with climate change' Volume: 53 Year: 2009 _record_number: 18847 _uuid: 1b1122ff-c509-4340-88a2-3b981d2654cc reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s00484-008-0189-9 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/1b1122ff-c509-4340-88a2-3b981d2654cc.yaml identifier: 1b1122ff-c509-4340-88a2-3b981d2654cc uri: /reference/1b1122ff-c509-4340-88a2-3b981d2654cc - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Lee, Mihye; Nordio, Francesco; Zanobetti, Antonella; Kinney, Patrick; Vautard, Robert; Schwartz, Joel' DOI: 10.1186/1476-069X-13-89 ISSN: 1476-069X Issue: 1 Journal: Environmental Health Pages: 89 Title: 'Acclimatization across space and time in the effects of temperature on mortality: A time-series analysis' Volume: 13 Year: 2014 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 19130 _uuid: 1dd78be0-0355-46a2-81b7-9a55154cc564 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1186/1476-069X-13-89 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/1dd78be0-0355-46a2-81b7-9a55154cc564.yaml identifier: 1dd78be0-0355-46a2-81b7-9a55154cc564 uri: /reference/1dd78be0-0355-46a2-81b7-9a55154cc564 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Martin-Latry, K.\rGoumy, M.P.\rLatry, P.\rGabinski, C.\rBégaud, B.\rFaure, I.\rVerdoux, H." DOI: 10.1016/j.eurpsy.2007.03.007 ISSN: 0924-9338 Issue: 6 Journal: European Psychiatry Pages: 335-338 Title: Psychotropic drugs use and risk of heat-related hospitalisation Volume: 22 Year: 2007 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 1894 _uuid: 1e9a7907-02f2-4da8-9e93-131f92515dbc reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.eurpsy.2007.03.007 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/1e9a7907-02f2-4da8-9e93-131f92515dbc.yaml identifier: 1e9a7907-02f2-4da8-9e93-131f92515dbc uri: /reference/1e9a7907-02f2-4da8-9e93-131f92515dbc - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Mercer, J.B.' DOI: 10.1016/s0013-9351(02)00009-9 ISSN: 0013-9351 Issue: 1 Journal: Environmental Research Pages: 8-13 Title: Cold—an underrated risk factor for health Volume: 92 Year: 2003 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 17611 _uuid: 1ece5a1e-f180-4940-bbe9-bbb179bc4397 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/s0013-9351(02)00009-9 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/1ece5a1e-f180-4940-bbe9-bbb179bc4397.yaml identifier: 1ece5a1e-f180-4940-bbe9-bbb179bc4397 uri: /reference/1ece5a1e-f180-4940-bbe9-bbb179bc4397 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Ye, X.\rWolff, R.\rYu, W.\rVaneckova, P.\rPan, X.\rTong, S." DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1003198 ISSN: 1552-9924 Issue: 1 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 19-28 Title: 'Ambient temperature and morbidity: A review of epidemiological evidence' Volume: 120 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","Overview"]' _record_number: 3505 _uuid: 1f4ec538-27f4-4a34-9d75-2d4cf9d2e960 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.1003198 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/1f4ec538-27f4-4a34-9d75-2d4cf9d2e960.yaml identifier: 1f4ec538-27f4-4a34-9d75-2d4cf9d2e960 uri: /reference/1f4ec538-27f4-4a34-9d75-2d4cf9d2e960 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Vanos, J.K.; Kalkstein, L.S.; Sanford, T.J.' DOI: 10.1002/joc.3964 ISSN: 1097-0088 Issue: 1 Journal: International Journal of Climatology Pages: 85-96 Title: Detecting synoptic warming trends across the US midwest and implications to human health and heat-related mortality Volume: 35 Year: 2015 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 19134 _uuid: 1fa2eb8e-08ed-4fde-96b3-a2b92d870e59 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1002/joc.3964 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/1fa2eb8e-08ed-4fde-96b3-a2b92d870e59.yaml identifier: 1fa2eb8e-08ed-4fde-96b3-a2b92d870e59 uri: /reference/1fa2eb8e-08ed-4fde-96b3-a2b92d870e59 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Davis, R. E.; Knappenberger, P. C.; Novicoff, W. M.; Michaels, P. J.' DOI: 10.3354/cr022175 ISSN: 1616-1572 Journal: Climate Research Pages: 175-184 Title: Decadal changes in heat-related human mortality in the eastern United States Volume: 22 Year: 2002 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 17591 _uuid: 23f2225e-c4f5-45f0-9bab-1f3c97848dc2 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.3354/cr022175 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/23f2225e-c4f5-45f0-9bab-1f3c97848dc2.yaml identifier: 23f2225e-c4f5-45f0-9bab-1f3c97848dc2 uri: /reference/23f2225e-c4f5-45f0-9bab-1f3c97848dc2 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Kerr, Zachary Y.; Casa, Douglas J.; Marshall, Stephen W.; Comstock, R. Dawn' DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2012.09.058 ISSN: 0749-3797 Issue: 1 Journal: American Journal of Preventive Medicine Pages: 8-14 Title: Epidemiology of exertional heat illness among U.S. high school athletes Volume: 44 Year: 2013 _chapter: Ch9 _record_number: 16402 _uuid: 25f571e6-7b69-4057-8b25-d698dc7cc398 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.amepre.2012.09.058 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/25f571e6-7b69-4057-8b25-d698dc7cc398.yaml identifier: 25f571e6-7b69-4057-8b25-d698dc7cc398 uri: /reference/25f571e6-7b69-4057-8b25-d698dc7cc398 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "O’Neill, M.S.\rZanobetti, A.\rSchwartz, J." DOI: 10.1093/jurban/jti043 ISSN: 1099-3460 Issue: 2 Journal: Journal of Urban Health Pages: 191-197 Title: 'Disparities by race in heat-related mortality in four US cities: The role of air conditioning prevalence' Volume: 82 Year: 2005 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 2335 _uuid: 29da63ed-20d4-4ac6-9ec7-ac886a25c040 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/jurban/jti043 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/29da63ed-20d4-4ac6-9ec7-ac886a25c040.yaml identifier: 29da63ed-20d4-4ac6-9ec7-ac886a25c040 uri: /reference/29da63ed-20d4-4ac6-9ec7-ac886a25c040 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Although weather changes are known to cause asthma symptoms, their impact on asthma-related health-care utilization is poorly understood. The objective of the present study was to determine the association between short-term outdoor temperature change and asthma-related emergency department (ED) visits among children 3-18 years of age in Detroit, Michigan, in 2000-2001. Descriptive analyses of patient and ED visit characteristics were performed. A case-crossover study utilizing time-stratified controls was conducted to determine the impact of maximum temperature change and change rate measured during 4-, 8-, 12-, and 24-hour periods. Multivariable conditional logistic regression demonstrated the relation between ED visits and temperature change after controlling for other weather and pollutant measures. There were 4,804 asthma-related ED visits during the study period, and they occurred most frequently in the fall and during morning hours. The case-crossover study showed a statistically significant inverse relation between ED visits and maximum 24-hour temperature change after adjustment for climatic factors (for temperature change, odds ratio = 0.992, P = 0.04; for temperature change rate, odds ratio 0.972, P = 0.01). The association persisted after air pollutant measures were added to the model, although the association was not significant. Despite the finding that a greater 24-hour temperature change decreased the risk of asthma-related ED visits, the overall results suggested a negligible association with short-term temperature change.' Author: 'Wasilevich, E. A.; Rabito, F.; Lefante, J.; Johnson, E.' DOI: 10.1093/aje/kws326 Date: Oct 1 ISSN: 1476-6256 Issue: suppl 7 Journal: American Journal of Epidemiology Keywords: 'Adolescent; Asthma/ epidemiology/therapy; Child; Child, Preschool; Cross-Over Studies; Emergency Service, Hospital/ statistics & numerical data; Female; Humans; Logistic Models; Male; Michigan/epidemiology; Seasons; Temperature; Time Factors' Language: eng Notes: 'Wasilevich, Elizabeth A Rabito, Felicia Lefante, John Johnson, Eric United States Am J Epidemiol. 2012 Oct 1;176 Suppl 7:S123-30. doi: 10.1093/aje/kws326.' Pages: S123-S130 Title: 'Short-term outdoor temperature change and emergency department visits for asthma among children: A case-crossover study' Volume: 176 Year: 2012 _record_number: 5357 _uuid: 2a0a09ec-bc6f-4662-9894-ff2ea09c1f57 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1093/aje/kws326 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/2a0a09ec-bc6f-4662-9894-ff2ea09c1f57.yaml identifier: 2a0a09ec-bc6f-4662-9894-ff2ea09c1f57 uri: /reference/2a0a09ec-bc6f-4662-9894-ff2ea09c1f57 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'BACKGROUND: Climate change is expected to have significant effects on human health, partly through an increase in extreme events such as heatwaves. People with mental illness may be at particular risk. AIMS: To estimate risk conferred by high ambient temperature on patients with psychosis, dementia and substance misuse. METHOD: We applied time-series regression analysis to data from a nationally representative primary care cohort study. Relative risk of death per 1 degrees C increase in temperature was calculated above a threshold. RESULTS: Patients with mental illness showed an overall increase in risk of death of 4.9% (95% CI 2.0-7.8) per 1 degrees C increase in temperature above the 93rd percentile of the annual temperature distribution. Younger patients and those with a primary diagnosis of substance misuse demonstrated greatest mortality risk. CONCLUSIONS: The increased risk of death during hot weather in patients with psychosis, dementia and substance misuse has implications for public health strategies during heatwaves.' Author: 'Page, L. A.; Hajat, S.; Kovats, R. S.; Howard, L. M.' DOI: 10.1192/bjp.bp.111.100404 Date: Jun ISSN: 1472-1465 Issue: 6 Journal: The British Journal of Psychiatry Keywords: Adult; Aged; Cohort Studies; Dementia/ mortality; England/epidemiology; Hot Temperature/ adverse effects; Humans; Middle Aged; Psychotic Disorders/ mortality; Residence Characteristics; Risk Factors; Seasons; Substance-Related Disorders/ mortality; Young Adult Language: eng Notes: "Page, Lisa A Hajat, Shakoor Kovats, R Sari Howard, Louise M Medical Research Council/United Kingdom Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't England Br J Psychiatry. 2012 Jun;200(6):485-90. doi: 10.1192/bjp.bp.111.100404." Pages: 485-490 Title: 'Temperature-related deaths in people with psychosis, dementia and substance misuse' Volume: 200 Year: 2012 _record_number: 4949 _uuid: 2a9775ae-a280-4260-985f-0e66d0ef8c11 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1192/bjp.bp.111.100404 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/2a9775ae-a280-4260-985f-0e66d0ef8c11.yaml identifier: 2a9775ae-a280-4260-985f-0e66d0ef8c11 uri: /reference/2a9775ae-a280-4260-985f-0e66d0ef8c11 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Dixon, P. G.; Brommer, D. M.; Hedquist, B. C.; Kalkstein, A. J.; Goodrich, G. B.; Walter, J. C.; Dickerson, C. C.; Penny, S. J.; Cerveny, R. S.' DOI: 10.1175/bams-86-7-937 ISSN: 1520-0477 Issue: 7 Journal: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Pages: 937-943 Title: 'Heat mortality versus cold mortality: A study of conflicting databases in the United States' Volume: 86 Year: 2005 _chapter: Ch2 _record_number: 17592 _uuid: 2b5dbc4d-3375-4c7d-a995-5d140b63aae1 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/bams-86-7-937 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/2b5dbc4d-3375-4c7d-a995-5d140b63aae1.yaml identifier: 2b5dbc4d-3375-4c7d-a995-5d140b63aae1 uri: /reference/2b5dbc4d-3375-4c7d-a995-5d140b63aae1