Toggle navigation
52.38.26.42

reference : High temperatures-related elderly mortality varied greatly from year to year: Important information for heat-warning systems

JSON YAML text HTML Turtle N-Triples JSON Triples RDF+XML RDF+JSON Graphviz SVG
/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/temperature-related-death-and-illness/finding/even-small-differences-seasonal-average-temperatures-result-illness-death/reference/ad5fb3ba-9924-4df9-a68f-1e94822f78f9
This bibliographic record appears in :
finding
2.2
finding
2.3
chapter
2
report
usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016

Reference URIs:
Publication/contributor :
article
High temperatures-related elderly mortality varied greatly from year to year: Important information for heat-warning systems
Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract We examined the variation in association between high temperatures and elderly mortality (age >/= 75 years) from year to year in 83 US cities between 1987 and 2000. We used a Poisson regression model and decomposed the mortality risk for high temperatures into: a "main effect" due to high temperatures using lagged non-linear function, and an "added effect" due to consecutive high temperature days. We pooled yearly effects across both regional and national levels. The high temperature effects (both main and added effects) on elderly mortality varied greatly from year to year. In every city there was at least one year where higher temperatures were associated with lower mortality. Years with relatively high heat-related mortality were often followed by years with relatively low mortality. These year to year changes have important consequences for heat-warning systems and for predictions of heat-related mortality due to climate change.
Author Guo, Y.; Barnett, A. G.; Tong, S.
DOI 10.1038/srep00830
ISSN 2045-2322
Issue 830
Journal Scientific Reports
Keywords Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Female; Hot Temperature; Humans; Male; Mortality; Seasons; Temperature; United States/epidemiology
Language eng
Notes Guo, Yuming Barnett, Adrian G Tong, Shilu Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't England Sci Rep. 2012;2:830. doi: 10.1038/srep00830. Epub 2012 Nov 9.
Title High temperatures-related elderly mortality varied greatly from year to year: Important information for heat-warning systems
Volume 2
Year 2012
Bibliographic identifiers
.reference_type 0
_record_number 4498
_uuid ad5fb3ba-9924-4df9-a68f-1e94822f78f9