--- attributes: ~ caption: 'A sensitivity analysis was conducted to test for potential impacts of differences in the modeling approaches (use of different historical reference periods and use of different sets of CMIP5 models) in the research studies highlighted in this assessment (see Research Highlights in Chapters 2, 3, 5, and 6). The values in the first column are temperature changes for three different reference periods used in this assessment, relative to the 1971–2000 reference period used in the 2014 NCA. The sets of values in the second column show future temperature changes for individual climate models for 2050–2059, relative to 1971–2000, for those studies that used the RCP6.0 scenario. From left to right, the vertical sets of values represent (a) 21 models used in the Vibrio/Alexandrium bacteria study (red), (b) 11 models used in the Gambierdiscus study (green), (c) the 5 models used in the Lyme disease study (purple), (d) the 2 models used in the extreme temperature study (blue), and (e) the single model used in the air quality study (orange). Each “×” represents a single model. The filled-in circle is the mean temperature change for all models in the column. (Figure source: NOAA NCEI / CICS-NC)' chapter: description: ~ display_name: 'Appendix 1: Technical Support Document' doi: 10.7930/J0KH0K83 identifier: appendix-1--technical-support-document number: ~ report_identifier: usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 sort_key: 110 title: 'Appendix 1: Technical Support Document' url: https://health2016.globalchange.gov/technical-support-document chapter_identifier: appendix-1--technical-support-document cited_by: [] contributors: - display_name: 'Scientist : Kenneth Kunkel (Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC) ' href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/contributor/2522.yaml id: 2522 organization: country_code: US display_name: 'Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC' identifier: cooperative-institute-climate-satellites-nc name: 'Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC' organization_type_identifier: academic type: organization url: http://www.cicsnc.org/ organization_uri: /organization/cooperative-institute-climate-satellites-nc person: display_name: Kenneth Kunkel first_name: Kenneth id: 1025 last_name: Kunkel middle_name: E. orcid: 0000-0001-6667-7047 type: person url: http://cicsnc.org/people/kenneth-kunkel/ person_id: 1025 person_uri: /person/1025 role_type_identifier: scientist uri: /contributor/2522 create_dt: 2015-08-07T11:40:00 description: 'A sensitivity analysis was conducted to test for potential impacts of differences in the modeling approaches (use of different historical reference periods and use of different sets of CMIP5 models) in the research studies highlighted in this assessment (see Research Highlights in Chapters 2, 3, 5, and 6). The values in the first column are temperature changes for three different reference periods used in this assessment, relative to the 1971–2000 reference period used in the 2014 NCA. The sets of values in the second column show future temperature changes for individual climate models for 2050–2059, relative to 1971–2000, for those studies that used the RCP6.0 scenario. From left to right, the vertical sets of values represent (a) 21 models used in the Vibrio/Alexandrium bacteria study (red), (b) 11 models used in the Gambierdiscus study (green), (c) the 5 models used in the Lyme disease study (purple), (d) the 2 models used in the extreme temperature study (blue), and (e) the single model used in the air quality study (orange). Each “×” represents a single model. The filled-in circle is the mean temperature change for all models in the column. (Figure source: NOAA NCEI / CICS-NC)' display_name: '3: Sensitivity Analysis of Differences in Modeling Approaches' files: - display_name: tsd_temp-diff-cmip5-rcp60_v1.png file: 98/e2/638c51efc07dfa4c80c2577828ab/tsd_temp-diff-cmip5-rcp60_v1.png href: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/98/e2/638c51efc07dfa4c80c2577828ab/tsd_temp-diff-cmip5-rcp60_v1.png identifier: aec37360-0585-4f93-89fa-5401939ff545 landing_page: ~ location: ~ mime_type: image/png sha1: f4c1e7f41f7fe138023e57109b1a4451509a800f size: 57188 thumbnail: 98/e2/638c51efc07dfa4c80c2577828ab/.thumb-aec37360-0585-4f93-89fa-5401939ff545.png thumbnail_href: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/98/e2/638c51efc07dfa4c80c2577828ab/.thumb-aec37360-0585-4f93-89fa-5401939ff545.png type: file uri: /file/aec37360-0585-4f93-89fa-5401939ff545 url: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/98/e2/638c51efc07dfa4c80c2577828ab/tsd_temp-diff-cmip5-rcp60_v1.png href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/appendix-1--technical-support-document/figure/sensitivity-analysis-of-differences-in-modeling-approaches.yaml identifier: sensitivity-analysis-of-differences-in-modeling-approaches kindred_figures: [] lat_max: 90.00 lat_min: -90.00 lon_max: 180.00 lon_min: -180.00 ordinal: 3 parents: [] references: [] report: display_name: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' report_identifier: usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 source_citation: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2099-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 1971-01-01T00:00:00 title: Sensitivity Analysis of Differences in Modeling Approaches type: figure uri: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/appendix-1--technical-support-document/figure/sensitivity-analysis-of-differences-in-modeling-approaches url: ~ usage_limits: Free to use with credit to the original figure source.