--- - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'ACWI,' Institution: 'U.S. Department of the Interior Advisory Committee on Water Information, Subcommittee on Groundwater' Title: A National Framework for Ground-Water Monitoring in the U.S. URL: http://acwi.gov/sogw/ngwmn_framework_report_july2013.pdf Year: 2013 _chapter: '["Ch. 3: Water Resources FINAL"]' _record_number: 4097 _uuid: fde4d6ea-62be-4d14-9c7d-f6b28b60cf90 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/acwi-nationalframework-2013 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fde4d6ea-62be-4d14-9c7d-f6b28b60cf90.yaml identifier: fde4d6ea-62be-4d14-9c7d-f6b28b60cf90 uri: /reference/fde4d6ea-62be-4d14-9c7d-f6b28b60cf90 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Samson, F. B.\rF. L. Knopf \rW. R. Ostlie" DOI: '10.2193/0091-7648(2004)32[6:GPEPPA]2.0.CO;2' Issue: 1 Journal: Wildlife Society Bulletin Pages: 6-15 Title: 'Great Plains ecosystems: Past, present, and future' URL: http://www.bioone.org/doi/pdf/10.2193/0091-7648%282004%2932%5B6%3AGPEPPA%5D2.0.CO%3B2 Volume: 32 Year: 2004 _chapter: '["Ch. 19: Great Plains FINAL"]' _record_number: 2737 _uuid: fde9d904-86b7-4c06-88f7-4d1a5cc65250 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.2193/0091-7648(2004)32%5B6:GPEPPA%5D2.0.CO;2 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fde9d904-86b7-4c06-88f7-4d1a5cc65250.yaml identifier: fde9d904-86b7-4c06-88f7-4d1a5cc65250 uri: /reference/fde9d904-86b7-4c06-88f7-4d1a5cc65250 - attrs: .reference_type: 1 .text_styles: '' Author: "Boden, Tom\rMarland, Gregg\rAndres, Bob" Place Published: 'Oak Ridge, TN' Publisher: 'Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory' Reviewer: fdf3a7f6-dead-4249-b0ca-e7b6e2ac6f16 Title: 'Global CO2 Emissions from Fossil-Fuel Burning, Cement Manufacture, and Gas Flaring: 1751-2008' URL: http://cdiac.ornl.gov/ftp/ndp030/global.1751_2008.ems Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Appendix 4: FAQs FINAL","Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL"]' _record_number: 4411 _uuid: fdf3a7f6-dead-4249-b0ca-e7b6e2ac6f16 reftype: Book child_publication: /dataset/nca3-global-1751-2008 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fdf3a7f6-dead-4249-b0ca-e7b6e2ac6f16.yaml identifier: fdf3a7f6-dead-4249-b0ca-e7b6e2ac6f16 uri: /reference/fdf3a7f6-dead-4249-b0ca-e7b6e2ac6f16 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Climate change is expected to bring potentially significant changes to Washington State’s natural, institutional, cultural, and economic landscape. Addressing climate change impacts will require a sustained commitment to integrating climate information into the day-to-day governance and management of infrastructure, programs, and services that may be affected by climate change. This paper discusses fundamental concepts for planning for climate change and identifies options for adapting to the climate impacts evaluated in the Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment. Additionally, the paper highlights potential avenues for increasing flexibility in the policies and regulations used to govern human and natural systems in Washington.' Author: "Binder, L.C.W.\rBarcelos, J.K.\rBooth, D.B.\rDarzen, Meriel\rElsner, M.M.\rFenske, Richard\rGraham, T.F.\rHamlet, A.F.\rHodges-Howell, John\rJackson, J.E.\rKarr, Catherine\rKeys, P.W.\rLittell, J.S.\rMantua, N.\rMarlow, Jennifer\rMcKenzie, Don\rRobinson-Dorn, Michael\rRosenberg, E.A.\rStöckle, C.O.\rVano, J.A." DOI: 10.1007/s10584-010-9850-5 Issue: 1-2 Journal: Climatic Change Keywords: climate change; impacts; adaptation; preparedness; policy; Washington State Pages: 351-376 Title: Preparing for climate change in Washington State Volume: 102 Year: 2010 _chapter: '["Ch. 28: Adaptation FINAL"]' _record_number: 1313 _uuid: fdf48792-6977-4006-a15d-14d96c1ce564 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-010-9850-5 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fdf48792-6977-4006-a15d-14d96c1ce564.yaml identifier: fdf48792-6977-4006-a15d-14d96c1ce564 uri: /reference/fdf48792-6977-4006-a15d-14d96c1ce564 - attrs: .reference_type: 4 Author: 'Devens, T.' Date: '29 May, 2012' Notes: 'T. Devens, at NCDOT, project manager for the US 64 project said reference should be a personal communication with him. He clarified that after an extensive literature review they decided to allow an additional 18 inches for SLR, on top of the elevation recommendation from their standard hydrological expert analysis. So the project elevation recommendation of 4ft =18 inches for SLR + current hydrological elevation analysis. They do not have the 18 inches or 4ft numbers in any type of official document but do state the need to include SLR in their (NCDOT) planning process in Chapter 2 of their “ US 64 Improvements Project: Draft Environmental Impact Statement” document dated 12/14/2011.' Recipient: 'Hernández Hammer, N.' Title: Phone Interview Year: 2012 _chapter: '["RG 2 Southeast","Ch. 17: Southeast and Caribbean FINAL"]' _record_number: 1262 _uuid: fdfa87e0-23bb-41b8-a5fa-107e7e509cf6 reftype: Personal Communication child_publication: /generic/645b74d3-cb07-46a2-8034-2d833ca49503 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fdfa87e0-23bb-41b8-a5fa-107e7e509cf6.yaml identifier: fdfa87e0-23bb-41b8-a5fa-107e7e509cf6 uri: /reference/fdfa87e0-23bb-41b8-a5fa-107e7e509cf6 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Menne, M.J.\rWilliams, C.N., Jr.\rM.A. Palecki" DOI: 10.1029/2009JD013094 Issue: D11108 Journal: Journal of Geophysical Research Pages: 9 Title: On the reliability of the U.S. surface temperature record URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2009JD013094/pdf Volume: 115 Year: 2010 _chapter: '["Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL"]' _record_number: 2000 _uuid: fe074063-3e08-4a10-b184-a3f946b9715c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1029/2009JD013094 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fe074063-3e08-4a10-b184-a3f946b9715c.yaml identifier: fe074063-3e08-4a10-b184-a3f946b9715c uri: /reference/fe074063-3e08-4a10-b184-a3f946b9715c - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Groves, D. G.\rM. Davis\rR. Wilkinson \rR. Lempert" Issue: 4 Journal: Water Resources IMPACT Title: 'Planning for climate change in the Inland Empire: Southern California' Volume: 10 Year: 2008 _chapter: '["Ch. 26: Decision Support FINAL"]' _record_number: 4066 _uuid: fe1cfd05-78d0-46d8-b506-eb347fe57c92 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/planning-for-climate-change-in-the-inland-empire-southern-california href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fe1cfd05-78d0-46d8-b506-eb347fe57c92.yaml identifier: fe1cfd05-78d0-46d8-b506-eb347fe57c92 uri: /reference/fe1cfd05-78d0-46d8-b506-eb347fe57c92 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 .text_styles: '' Author: "Siegenthaler, U.\rMonnin, E.\rKawamura, K.\rSpahni, R.\rSchwander, J.\rStauffer, B.\rStocker, T.F.\rBarnola, J.\rFischer, H." DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0889.2005.00131.x ISSN: 1600-0889 Issue: 1 Journal: Tellus B Pages: 51-57 Title: Supporting evidence from the EPICA Dronning Maud Land ice core for atmospheric CO2 changes during the past millennium URL: http://www.climate.unibe.ch/~spahni/papers/siegenthaler05telb.pdf Volume: 57 Year: 2005 _chapter: '["Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL"]' _record_number: 2853 _uuid: fe36e32a-a322-426b-b95f-d3e970ce2d9d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/j.1600-0889.2005.00131.x href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fe36e32a-a322-426b-b95f-d3e970ce2d9d.yaml identifier: fe36e32a-a322-426b-b95f-d3e970ce2d9d uri: /reference/fe36e32a-a322-426b-b95f-d3e970ce2d9d - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Adger, W.N.\rDessai, S.\rGoulden, M.\rHulme, M.\rLorenzoni, I.\rNelson, D.R.\rNaess, L.O.\rWolf, J.\rWreford, A." DOI: 10.1007/s10584-008-9520-z ISSN: 0165-0009 Issue: 3-4 Journal: Climatic Change Pages: 335-354 Title: Are there social limits to adaptation to climate change? Volume: 93 Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 28: Adaptation FINAL"]' _record_number: 106 _uuid: fe4e06c1-b8d0-44fc-8892-44c20b60ab6a reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s10584-008-9520-z href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fe4e06c1-b8d0-44fc-8892-44c20b60ab6a.yaml identifier: fe4e06c1-b8d0-44fc-8892-44c20b60ab6a uri: /reference/fe4e06c1-b8d0-44fc-8892-44c20b60ab6a - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Fisk, W.J.\rLei-Gomez, Q.\rMendell, M.J." DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0668.2007.00475.x ISSN: 1600-0668 Issue: 4 Journal: Indoor Air Pages: 284-296 Title: Meta-analyses of the associations of respiratory health effects with dampness and mold in homes URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1600-0668.2007.00475.x/pdf Volume: 17 Year: 2007 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","Overview"]' _record_number: 1104 _uuid: fe69d52e-ac37-4d64-9307-9076bb5270a7 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1111/j.1600-0668.2007.00475.x href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fe69d52e-ac37-4d64-9307-9076bb5270a7.yaml identifier: fe69d52e-ac37-4d64-9307-9076bb5270a7 uri: /reference/fe69d52e-ac37-4d64-9307-9076bb5270a7 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Post, E.S.\rGrambsch, A.\rWeaver, C.\rMorefield, P.\rHuang, J.\rLeung, L.-Y.\rNolte, C.G.\rAdams, P.\rLiang, X.-Z.\rZhu, J.-H.\rMahone, H." DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1104271 ISSN: 1552-9924 Issue: 11 Journal: Environmental Health Perspectives Pages: 1559-1564 Title: Variation in estimated ozone-related health impacts of climate change due to modeling choices and assumptions URL: http://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/ehp.11042711.pdf Volume: 120 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 2520 _uuid: fe6d1c69-790d-46cc-89c4-26dc24585dcf reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1289/ehp.1104271 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fe6d1c69-790d-46cc-89c4-26dc24585dcf.yaml identifier: fe6d1c69-790d-46cc-89c4-26dc24585dcf uri: /reference/fe6d1c69-790d-46cc-89c4-26dc24585dcf - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Seasonal extreme daily precipitation is analyzed in the ensemble of NARCAPP regional climate models. Significant variation in these models’ abilities to reproduce observed precipitation extremes over the contiguous United States is found. Model performance metrics are introduced to characterize overall biases, seasonality, spatial extent and the shape of the precipitation distribution. Comparison of the models to gridded observations that include an elevation correction is found to be better than to gridded observations without this correction. A complicated model weighting scheme based on model performance in simulating observations is found to cause significant improvements in ensemble mean skill only if some of the models are poorly performing outliers. The effect of lateral boundary conditions are explored by comparing the integrations driven by reanalysis to those driven by global climate models. Projected mid-century future changes in seasonal precipitation means and extremes are presented and discussions of the sources of uncertainty and the mechanisms causing these changes are presented.' Author: 'Wehner, M.F.' DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1393-1 ISSN: 0930-7575 Issue: 1-2 Journal: Climate Dynamics Keywords: Extreme precipitation; Climate models; Return value; Uncertainty; High resolution Pages: 59-80 Title: 'Very extreme seasonal precipitation in the NARCCAP ensemble: Model performance and projections' Volume: 40 Year: 2013 _chapter: '["Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL","Ch. 21: Northwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 3376 _uuid: fe7cfee1-62d4-4a3f-8d9b-f3ec33912f87 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s00382-012-1393-1 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fe7cfee1-62d4-4a3f-8d9b-f3ec33912f87.yaml identifier: fe7cfee1-62d4-4a3f-8d9b-f3ec33912f87 uri: /reference/fe7cfee1-62d4-4a3f-8d9b-f3ec33912f87 - attrs: .publisher: American Meteorological Society .reference_type: 0 Access Date: 2013/11/04 Author: "Greene, Scott\rKalkstein, Laurence S.\rMills, David M.\rSamenow, Jason" DOI: 10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00055.1 Date: 2011/10/01 ISSN: 1948-8327 Issue: 4 Journal: 'Weather, Climate, and Society' Pages: 281-292 Title: An examination of climate change on extreme heat events and climate–mortality relationships in large U.S. cities URL: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00055.1 Volume: 3 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL"]' _record_number: 4491 _uuid: fe80908b-c181-4da8-8163-5abaade99c7e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00055.1 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fe80908b-c181-4da8-8163-5abaade99c7e.yaml identifier: fe80908b-c181-4da8-8163-5abaade99c7e uri: /reference/fe80908b-c181-4da8-8163-5abaade99c7e - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Paltsev, Sergey\rReilly, John M.\rJacoby, Henry D.\rMorris, Jennifer F." DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2009.06.005 ISSN: 0140-9883 Issue: Supplement 2 Journal: Energy Economics Keywords: "Climate policy\rCap-and-trade\rGreenhouse gas emission reductions\rEnergy system\rEconomic cost" Pages: S235-S243 Title: The cost of climate policy in the United States Volume: 31 Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 27: Mitigation FINAL"]' _record_number: 4091 _uuid: fe9aa513-b084-48d0-b025-c1ec5f31e389 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.eneco.2009.06.005 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fe9aa513-b084-48d0-b025-c1ec5f31e389.yaml identifier: fe9aa513-b084-48d0-b025-c1ec5f31e389 uri: /reference/fe9aa513-b084-48d0-b025-c1ec5f31e389 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: "Stark, Melissa \rAllingham, Rory\rCalder, John\rLennartz-Walker, Tessa\rWai, Karly\rThompson, Peter\rZhao, Shengkai" Institution: Accenture Pages: 72 Title: 'Water and Shale Gas Development: Leveraging the US Experience in New Shale Developments' URL: http://www.accenture.com/SiteCollectionDocuments/PDF/Accenture-Water-And-Shale-Gas-Development.pdf Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 10: Energy Water Land FINAL"]' _record_number: 4282 _uuid: fea2851b-1ae2-4d79-a85d-89ea2996ee2f reftype: Report child_publication: /report/accenture-watershalegas-2012 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fea2851b-1ae2-4d79-a85d-89ea2996ee2f.yaml identifier: fea2851b-1ae2-4d79-a85d-89ea2996ee2f uri: /reference/fea2851b-1ae2-4d79-a85d-89ea2996ee2f - attrs: .publisher: Public Library of Science .reference_type: 0 Abstract: ' Background

Tidal marshes will be threatened by increasing rates of sea-level rise (SLR) over the next century. Managers seek guidance on whether existing and restored marshes will be resilient under a range of potential future conditions, and on prioritizing marsh restoration and conservation activities.

 Methodology

Building upon established models, we developed a hybrid approach that involves a mechanistic treatment of marsh accretion dynamics and incorporates spatial variation at a scale relevant for conservation and restoration decision-making. We applied this model to San Francisco Bay, using best-available elevation data and estimates of sediment supply and organic matter accumulation developed for 15 Bay subregions. Accretion models were run over 100 years for 70 combinations of starting elevation, mineral sediment, organic matter, and SLR assumptions. Results were applied spatially to evaluate eight Bay-wide climate change scenarios.

 Principal Findings

Model results indicated that under a high rate of SLR (1.65 m/century), short-term restoration of diked subtidal baylands to mid marsh elevations (−0.2 m MHHW) could be achieved over the next century with sediment concentrations greater than 200 mg/L. However, suspended sediment concentrations greater than 300 mg/L would be required for 100-year mid marsh sustainability (i.e., no elevation loss). Organic matter accumulation had minimal impacts on this threshold. Bay-wide projections of marsh habitat area varied substantially, depending primarily on SLR and sediment assumptions. Across all scenarios, however, the model projected a shift in the mix of intertidal habitats, with a loss of high marsh and gains in low marsh and mudflats.

 Conclusions/Significance

Results suggest a bleak prognosis for long-term natural tidal marsh sustainability under a high-SLR scenario. To minimize marsh loss, we recommend conserving adjacent uplands for marsh migration, redistributing dredged sediment to raise elevations, and concentrating restoration efforts in sediment-rich areas. To assist land managers, we developed a web-based decision support tool (www.prbo.org/sfbayslr).

' Author: "Stralberg, Diana\rBrennan, Matthew\rCallaway, John C.\rWood, Julian K.\rSchile, Lisa M.\rJongsomjit, Dennis\rKelly, Maggi\rParker, V. Thomas\rCrooks, Stephen" DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0027388 Issue: 11 Journal: PLoS ONE Pages: e27388 Title: 'Evaluating tidal marsh sustainability in the face of sea-level rise: A hybrid modeling approach applied to San Francisco Bay' URL: http://www.plosone.org/article/fetchObject.action?uri=info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0027388&representation=PDF Volume: 6 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 25: Coastal Zone FINAL"]' _record_number: 3856 _uuid: febd979a-7e7b-4ae3-8fdc-d9aa62dea49c reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1371/journal.pone.0027388 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/febd979a-7e7b-4ae3-8fdc-d9aa62dea49c.yaml identifier: febd979a-7e7b-4ae3-8fdc-d9aa62dea49c uri: /reference/febd979a-7e7b-4ae3-8fdc-d9aa62dea49c - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: "Morgan, M.G.\rHadi Dowlatabadi\rMax Henrion\rDavid Keith\rRobert Lempert\rSandra McBride\rMitchell Small\rThomas Wilbanks " Institution: 'U.S. Climate Change Science Program, Subcommittee on Global Change' Pages: 156 Place Published: 'Washington, D.C.' Title: 'Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Climate Decision Making. A Report By the Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change' URL: http://downloads.globalchange.gov/sap/sap5-2/sap5-2-final-report-all.pdf Year: 2009 _chapter: '["Ch. 26: Decision Support FINAL"]' _record_number: 2084 _uuid: fee36ebd-c423-4521-b3ab-2a7225e5ea37 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/ccsp-sap-5_2-2009 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fee36ebd-c423-4521-b3ab-2a7225e5ea37.yaml identifier: fee36ebd-c423-4521-b3ab-2a7225e5ea37 uri: /reference/fee36ebd-c423-4521-b3ab-2a7225e5ea37 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "English, D.B.K.\rMarcouiller, D.W.\rCordell, H.K." DOI: 10.1080/089419200279054 ISSN: 0894-1920 Issue: 3 Journal: Society & Natural Resources Pages: 185-202 Title: 'Tourism dependence in rural America: Estimates and effects' Volume: 13 Year: 2000 _chapter: '["Ch. 14: Rural Communities FINAL"]' _record_number: 1677 _uuid: fee3896e-2ffd-4c5c-8032-2aa01e717187 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1080/089419200279054 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/fee3896e-2ffd-4c5c-8032-2aa01e717187.yaml identifier: fee3896e-2ffd-4c5c-8032-2aa01e717187 uri: /reference/fee3896e-2ffd-4c5c-8032-2aa01e717187 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Hamlet, A.F.' DOI: 10.5194/hess-15-1427-2011 ISSN: 1027-5606 Issue: 5 Journal: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pages: 1427-1443 Title: Assessing water resources adaptive capacity to climate change impacts in the Pacific Northwest region of North America URL: http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/15/1427/2011/hess-15-1427-2011.html Volume: 15 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 21: Northwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 118 _uuid: ff059806-9325-44dd-b3f9-6d0edf2e3ffe reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.5194/hess-15-1427-2011 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/ff059806-9325-44dd-b3f9-6d0edf2e3ffe.yaml identifier: ff059806-9325-44dd-b3f9-6d0edf2e3ffe uri: /reference/ff059806-9325-44dd-b3f9-6d0edf2e3ffe - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: 'Landsberg, H.E.' DOI: 10.1126/science.170.3964.1265 ISSN: 0036-8075 Issue: 3964 Journal: Science Pages: 1265-1274 Title: "Man-made climatic changes: Man's activities have altered the climate of urbanized areas and may affect global climate in the future" Volume: 170 Year: 1970 _chapter: '["Ch. 13: Land Use and Land Cover Change FINAL"]' _record_number: 1090 _uuid: ff31c479-bfb9-4c80-8ea1-9486048e1abb reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.170.3964.1265 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/ff31c479-bfb9-4c80-8ea1-9486048e1abb.yaml identifier: ff31c479-bfb9-4c80-8ea1-9486048e1abb uri: /reference/ff31c479-bfb9-4c80-8ea1-9486048e1abb