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@prefix dcterms: <http://purl.org/dc/terms/> . @prefix xsd: <http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#> . @prefix gcis: <http://data.globalchange.gov/gcis.owl#> . @prefix cito: <http://purl.org/spar/cito/> . @prefix biro: <http://purl.org/spar/biro/> . <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3/chapter/water-resources/finding/water-resource-planning-challenges> dcterms:identifier "water-resource-planning-challenges"; gcis:findingNumber "3.10"^^xsd:string; gcis:findingStatement "In most U.S. regions, water resources managers and planners will encounter new risks, vulnerabilities, and opportunities that may not be properly managed within existing practices."^^xsd:string; gcis:isFindingOf <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3/chapter/water-resources>; gcis:isFindingOf <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3>; ## Properties of the finding: gcis:findingProcess "The chapter author team engaged in multiple technical discussions via teleconferences from March â June 2012. These discussions followed a thorough review of the literature, which included an inter-agency prepared foundational document, over 500 technical inputs provided by the public, as well as other published literature. The author team met in Seattle, Washington, in May, 2012 for expert deliberation of draft key messages by the authors wherein each message was defended before the entire author team before this key message was selected for inclusion in the Chapter. These discussions were supported by targeted consultation with additional experts by the lead author of each message, and they were based on criteria that help define âkey vulnerabilities.â Key messages were further refined following input from the NCADAC report integration team and authors of Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate."^^xsd:string; gcis:descriptionOfEvidenceBase "The key message and supporting chapter text summarizes extensive evidence documented in the inter-agency prepared foundational document, other chapters of the NCA, and over 500 technical inputs on a wide range of topics that were received as part of the Federal Register Notice solicitation for public input.\r\nObserved and Projected Trends: Many U.S. regions are facing critical water management and planning challenges. Recent assessments illustrate water management challenges facing California, the Southwest, Southeast (Ch. 17: Southeast), Northwest, Great Plains, and Great Lakes.\r\nThe Sacramento-San Joaquin Bay Delta is already threatened by flooding, seawater intrusion, and changing needs for environmental, municipal, and agricultural water uses. Managing these risks and uses requires re-assessment of a very complex system of water rights, levees, stakeholder consensus processes, reservoir system operations, and significant investments, all of which are subject to large uncertainties. Given the projected climate changes in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Bay Delta, adherence to historical management and planning practices may not be a long-term viable option, but the supporting science is not yet fully actionable, and a flexible legal and policy framework embracing change and uncertainty is lacking. \r\nThe Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint (ACF) River basin in Georgia, Alabama, and Florida supports a wide range of water uses and the regional economy, creating challenging water sharing tradeoffs for the basin stakeholders. Climate change presents new stresses and uncertainties. ACF stakeholders are working to develop a management plan that balances economic, ecological, and social values.\r\n"^^xsd:string; gcis:assessmentOfConfidenceBasedOnEvidence "The water resources literature is unanimous that water management should rely less on historical practices and responses and more on robust, risk-based, and adaptive decision approaches. \r\nTherefore confidence is very high that in most U.S. regions, water resources managers and planners will face new risks, vulnerabilities, and opportunities that may not be properly managed with existing practices."^^xsd:string; gcis:newInformationAndRemainingUncertainties "Changes in climate, water demand, land use, and demography combine to challenge water management in unprecedented ways. This is happening with a very high degree of certainty in most U.S. regions. Regardless of its underlying causes, climate change poses difficult challenges for water management because it invalidates stationarity â the perception that climate varies around a predictable mean based on the experience of the last century â and increases hydrologic variability and uncertainty. These conditions suggest that past management practices will become increasingly ineffective and that water management can benefit by the adoption of iterative, risk-based, and adaptive approaches. "^^xsd:string; a gcis:Finding . ## This finding cites the following entities: <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3/chapter/water-resources/finding/water-resource-planning-challenges> cito:cites <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nrc-baydelta-2010>; biro:references <http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/7ef83121-d51c-4bc5-b499-e00733fae338>. <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3/chapter/water-resources/finding/water-resource-planning-challenges> cito:cites <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca-waterresourcessector-2013>; biro:references <http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/50d47cc1-5a16-4f5c-bb08-bf6f475a5bb8>. <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3/chapter/water-resources/finding/water-resource-planning-challenges> cito:cites <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nrc-baydelta-2011>; biro:references <http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/afffeea6-ab1c-4ffa-9667-5174239693f3>. <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3/chapter/water-resources/finding/water-resource-planning-challenges> cito:cites <http://52.38.26.42:8080/article/10.1073/pnas.0812762106>; 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biro:references <http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/e610dc47-1231-4cbf-b43d-083cc76aa885>. <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3/chapter/water-resources/finding/water-resource-planning-challenges> cito:cites <http://52.38.26.42:8080/article/10.1007/s10584-010-9856-z>; biro:references <http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/4babef84-d85e-488e-b8c5-3fb080ebfcd3>. <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3/chapter/water-resources/finding/water-resource-planning-challenges> cito:cites <http://52.38.26.42:8080/article/10.1023/B:CLIM.0000013694.18154.d6>; biro:references <http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/c3b1c82e-1821-465f-8466-9d42799340ad>. <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3/chapter/water-resources/finding/water-resource-planning-challenges> cito:cites <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/iugls-lakesuperior-2012>; biro:references <http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/125c3ecf-fc2d-46dc-b42b-1d41cfb3ec46>. <http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3/chapter/water-resources/finding/water-resource-planning-challenges> cito:cites <http://52.38.26.42:8080/article/10.1029/2009WR007838>; 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