---
attributes: ~
caption: 'The number of days with the heaviest precipitation is not projected to change dramatically. The historical (1971-2000) distribution of the greatest 2% of daily precipitation (Top: about seven days each year) echoes the regional east-west gradient in average precipitation. By mid-century (2041-2070), the projected change in days exceeding those precipitation amounts remains greatest in the northern area for both the lower emissions scenario (B1) and for the higher emissions scenario (A2). (Figure source: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC).'
chapter:
  description: ~
  display_name: 'Chapter 19: Great Plains'
  doi: 10.7930/J0D798BC
  identifier: great-plains
  number: 19
  report_identifier: nca3
  sort_key: 190
  title: Great Plains
  url: http://nca2014.globalchange.gov/report/regions/great-plains
chapter_identifier: great-plains
cited_by: []
contributors:
  - display_name: 'Scientist : Kenneth Kunkel (Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC) '
    href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/contributor/2522.yaml
    id: 2522
    organization:
      country_code: US
      display_name: 'Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC'
      identifier: cooperative-institute-climate-satellites-nc
      name: 'Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC'
      organization_type_identifier: academic
      type: organization
      url: http://www.cicsnc.org/
    organization_uri: /organization/cooperative-institute-climate-satellites-nc
    person:
      display_name: Kenneth Kunkel
      first_name: Kenneth
      id: 1025
      last_name: Kunkel
      middle_name: E.
      orcid: 0000-0001-6667-7047
      type: person
      url: http://cicsnc.org/people/kenneth-kunkel/
    person_id: 1025
    person_uri: /person/1025
    role_type_identifier: scientist
    uri: /contributor/2522
create_dt: 2013-11-12T10:46:39
description: 'The number of days with the heaviest precipitation is not projected to change dramatically. The historical (1971-2000) distribution of the greatest 2% of daily precipitation (Top: about seven days each year) echoes the regional east-west gradient in average precipitation. By mid-century (2041-2070), the projected change in days exceeding those precipitation amounts remains greatest in the northern area for both the lower emissions scenario (B1) and for the higher emissions scenario (A2). (Figure source: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC).'
display_name: '19.4: Projected Change in Number of Heavy Precipitation Days'
files:
  - display_name: GP_heavy_precip_projected_V4.png
    file: 15/64/cf38d356d6671f2b254f04ffaafa/GP_heavy_precip_projected_V4.png
    href: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/15/64/cf38d356d6671f2b254f04ffaafa/GP_heavy_precip_projected_V4.png
    identifier: b37243a2-ba46-4b7a-9884-e0d5fe94afb7
    landing_page: ~
    location: ~
    mime_type: image/png
    sha1: ea5566a52d6ed7624c37572d4e7b2bc971330a58
    size: 560313
    thumbnail: 15/64/cf38d356d6671f2b254f04ffaafa/.thumb-b37243a2-ba46-4b7a-9884-e0d5fe94afb7.png
    thumbnail_href: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/15/64/cf38d356d6671f2b254f04ffaafa/.thumb-b37243a2-ba46-4b7a-9884-e0d5fe94afb7.png
    type: file
    uri: /file/b37243a2-ba46-4b7a-9884-e0d5fe94afb7
    url: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/15/64/cf38d356d6671f2b254f04ffaafa/GP_heavy_precip_projected_V4.png
href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3/chapter/great-plains/figure/projected-change-in-number-of-heavy-precipitation-days.yaml
identifier: projected-change-in-number-of-heavy-precipitation-days
images:
  - attributes: 'Great Plains, precipitation, observed'
    create_dt: 2013-09-13T13:25:00
    description: ~
    identifier: 74bf9c03-2a92-431c-8b67-c4fca74433df
    lat_max: 48.94
    lat_min: 25.94
    lon_max: -116.06
    lon_min: -93.56
    position: ~
    submission_dt: ~
    time_end: 2000-12-31T23:59:59
    time_start: 1971-01-01T00:00:00
    title: 'Projected Change in Number of Heavy Precipitation Day: Historical Climate'
    url: ~
    usage_limits: ~
  - attributes: 'Great Plains, precipitation, projected'
    create_dt: 2013-07-31T14:16:00
    description: ~
    identifier: f8258223-c1a5-4279-95cd-89c36a48311a
    lat_max: 48.94
    lat_min: 25.94
    lon_max: -116.06
    lon_min: -93.56
    position: ~
    submission_dt: ~
    time_end: 2070-12-31T23:59:59
    time_start: 1971-01-01T00:00:00
    title: 'Projected Change in Number of Heavy Precipitation Days: Higher Emissions (A2)'
    url: ~
    usage_limits: ~
  - attributes: 'Great Plains, precipitation, projected'
    create_dt: 2013-07-31T14:16:00
    description: ~
    identifier: b7a503bf-c39e-4615-892b-780a69ae57b5
    lat_max: 48.94
    lat_min: 25.94
    lon_max: -116.06
    lon_min: -93.56
    position: ~
    submission_dt: ~
    time_end: 2070-12-31T23:59:59
    time_start: 1971-01-01T00:00:00
    title: 'Projected Change in Number of Heavy Precipitation Days: Lower Emissions (B1)'
    url: ~
    usage_limits: ~
kindred_figures: []
lat_max: ~
lat_min: ~
lon_max: ~
lon_min: ~
ordinal: 4
parents: []
references: []
report:
  display_name: 'Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment'
report_identifier: nca3
source_citation: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC
submission_dt: ~
time_end: ~
time_start: ~
title: Projected Change in Number of Heavy Precipitation Days
type: figure
uri: /report/nca3/chapter/great-plains/figure/projected-change-in-number-of-heavy-precipitation-days
url: http://nca2014.globalchange.gov/report/regions/great-plains/graphics/projected-change-number-heavy-precipitation-days
usage_limits: Free to use with credit to the original figure source.