--- - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Shepard, C.\rAgostini, V.N.\rGilmer, B.\rAllen, T.\rStone, J.\rBrooks, W.\rBeck, M.W." DOI: 10.1007/s11069-011-0046-8 Issue: 2 Journal: Natural Hazards Pages: 727-745 Title: 'Assessing future risk: Quantifying the effects of sea level rise on storm surge risk for the southern shores of Long Island, New York' Volume: 60 Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL"]' _record_number: 2836 _uuid: 0fc3f3dd-7edf-4305-8ec9-0d0e2bcfcd18 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1007/s11069-011-0046-8 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/0fc3f3dd-7edf-4305-8ec9-0d0e2bcfcd18.yaml identifier: 0fc3f3dd-7edf-4305-8ec9-0d0e2bcfcd18 uri: /reference/0fc3f3dd-7edf-4305-8ec9-0d0e2bcfcd18 - attrs: .reference_type: 7 Author: "FitzGerald, D. M.\rFenster, M. S.\rArgow, B. A.\rBuynevich, I. V." Book Title: Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences DOI: 10.1146/annurev.earth.35.031306.140139 ISBN: 0084-6597; 978-0-8243-2036-2 Keywords: barrier islands; tidal inlets; salt marsh; wetlands; inundation; estuaries; equilibrium slope; equilibrium beach profiles; mississippi delta plain; west-central; florida; wave-built terraces; salt-marsh; shoreface profile; north-carolina; united-states; sediment transport; tropical cyclones Pages: 601-647 Place Published: Palo Alto Publisher: Annual Reviews Reviewer: 15451c8d-0add-40c7-a7e6-c286ccbf76f6 Series Title: Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences Title: Coastal impacts due to sea-level rise Volume: 36 Year: 2008 _chapter: '["Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL"]' _record_number: 413 _uuid: 15451c8d-0add-40c7-a7e6-c286ccbf76f6 reftype: Book Section child_publication: /article/10.1146/annurev.earth.35.031306.140139 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/15451c8d-0add-40c7-a7e6-c286ccbf76f6.yaml identifier: 15451c8d-0add-40c7-a7e6-c286ccbf76f6 uri: /reference/15451c8d-0add-40c7-a7e6-c286ccbf76f6 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "Peters, D. P. C.\rA. E. Lugo\rChapin, F. S., III\rS. T. A. Pickett\rM. Duniway\rA. V. Rocha\rF. J. Swanson\rC. Laney\rJ. Jones" DOI: 10.1890/ES11-00115.1 ISSN: 2150-8925 Issue: Article 81 Journal: Ecosphere Pages: 1-26 Title: Cross-system comparisons elucidate disturbance complexities and generalities URL: http://www.esajournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1890/ES11-00115.1 Volume: ' 2' Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL"]' _record_number: 2472 _uuid: 41f4e895-d87d-427a-a9d9-e1d411fc838d reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1890/ES11-00115.1 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/41f4e895-d87d-427a-a9d9-e1d411fc838d.yaml identifier: 41f4e895-d87d-427a-a9d9-e1d411fc838d uri: /reference/41f4e895-d87d-427a-a9d9-e1d411fc838d - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: 'NIFC,' Institution: National Interagency Fire Center Pages: 59 Place Published: 'Boise, ID' Title: 'Wildland Fire Summary and Statistics Annual Report 2011 ' URL: http://www.predictiveservices.nifc.gov/intelligence/2011_statssumm/charts_tables.pdf Year: 2012 _chapter: '["Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL","Ch. 21: Northwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 4275 _uuid: 4d24a997-855e-44e0-9693-2895851d9144 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/nifc-wildlandfire-2012 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/4d24a997-855e-44e0-9693-2895851d9144.yaml identifier: 4d24a997-855e-44e0-9693-2895851d9144 uri: /reference/4d24a997-855e-44e0-9693-2895851d9144 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Author: "McGranahan, G.\rD. Balk\rB. Anderson" DOI: 10.1177/0956247807076960 Issue: 1 Journal: Environment & Urbanization Pages: 17-37 Title: 'The rising tide: Assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones' URL: http://eau.sagepub.com/content/19/1/17.full.pdf+html Volume: 19 Year: 2007 _chapter: '["Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL"]' _record_number: 1941 _uuid: 65b90ca8-fd21-4d15-9631-bae1dc6a63b6 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1177/0956247807076960 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/65b90ca8-fd21-4d15-9631-bae1dc6a63b6.yaml identifier: 65b90ca8-fd21-4d15-9631-bae1dc6a63b6 uri: /reference/65b90ca8-fd21-4d15-9631-bae1dc6a63b6 - attrs: .reference_type: 10 Author: "Staudinger, Michelle D.\rNancy B. Grimm\rAmanda Staudt\rShawn L. Carter\rChapin, F. Stuart, III\rPeter Kareiva\rMary Ruckelshaus\rBruce A. Stein" Date: July 2012 Institution: U.S. Geological Survey Pages: 296 Place Published: 'Reston, VA' Title: 'Impacts of Climate Change on Biodiversity, Ecosystems, and Ecosystem Services. Technical Input to the 2013 National Climate Assessment' URL: http://downloads.usgcrp.gov/NCA/Activities/Biodiversity-Ecosystems-and-Ecosystem-Services-Technical-Input.pdf Year: 2012 _chapter: '["RG 9 Rural","Ch. 14: Rural Communities FINAL","Ch. 28: Adaptation FINAL","Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL","RF 12"]' _record_number: 3253 _uuid: 7406884d-2302-4644-aa50-12ed8baf4fd7 reftype: Report child_publication: /report/nca-impactsclimchbiodiv-2012 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/7406884d-2302-4644-aa50-12ed8baf4fd7.yaml identifier: 7406884d-2302-4644-aa50-12ed8baf4fd7 uri: /reference/7406884d-2302-4644-aa50-12ed8baf4fd7 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Climate change is likely to alter wildfire regimes, but the magnitude and timing of potential climate-driven changes in regional fire regimes are not well understood. We considered how the occurrence, size, and spatial location of large fires might respond to climate projections in the Greater Yellowstone ecosystem (GYE) (Wyoming), a large wildland ecosystem dominated by conifer forests and characterized by infrequent, high-severity fire. We developed a suite of statistical models that related monthly climate data (1972–1999) to the occurrence and size of fires >200 ha in the northern Rocky Mountains; these models were cross-validated and then used with downscaled (∼12 km × 12 km) climate projections from three global climate models to predict fire occurrence and area burned in the GYE through 2099. All models predicted substantial increases in fire by midcentury, with fire rotation (the time to burn an area equal to the landscape area) reduced to <30 y from the historical 100–300 y for most of the GYE. Years without large fires were common historically but are expected to become rare as annual area burned and the frequency of regionally synchronous fires increase. Our findings suggest a shift to novel fire–climate–vegetation relationships in Greater Yellowstone by midcentury because fire frequency and extent would be inconsistent with persistence of the current suite of conifer species. The predicted new fire regime would transform the flora, fauna, and ecosystem processes in this landscape and may indicate similar changes for other subalpine forests.' Author: "Westerling, Anthony L.\rTurner, Monica G.\rSmithwick, Erica A. H.\rRomme, William H.\rRyan, Michael G." DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1110199108 Date: 'July 25, 2011' ISSN: 1091-6490 Issue: 32 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Pages: 13165-13170 Title: Continued warming could transform Greater Yellowstone fire regimes by mid-21st century URL: http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2011/07/20/1110199108.abstract; http://www.pnas.org/content/108/32/13165.full.pdf Volume: 108 Year: 2011 _chapter: '["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","RF 10","Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL","Overview","Ch. 7: Forests FINAL"]' _record_number: 3398 _uuid: b95e9226-076c-4eb5-9367-472499624084 reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1073/pnas.1110199108 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/b95e9226-076c-4eb5-9367-472499624084.yaml identifier: b95e9226-076c-4eb5-9367-472499624084 uri: /reference/b95e9226-076c-4eb5-9367-472499624084 - attrs: .reference_type: 0 Abstract: 'Western United States forest wildfire activity is widely thought to have increased in recent decades, yet neither the extent of recent changes nor the degree to which climate may be driving regional changes in wildfire has been systematically documented. Much of the public and scientific discussion of changes in western United States wildfire has focused instead on the effects of 19th- and 20th-century land-use history. We compiled a comprehensive database of large wildfires in western United States forests since 1970 and compared it with hydroclimatic and land-surface data. Here, we show that large wildfire activity increased suddenly and markedly in the mid-1980s, with higher large-wildfire frequency, longer wildfire durations, and longer wildfire seasons. The greatest increases occurred in mid-elevation, Northern Rockies forests, where land-use histories have relatively little effect on fire risks and are strongly associated with increased spring and summer temperatures and an earlier spring snowmelt.' Accession Number: '294, 458' Author: "Westerling, A.L.\rHidalgo, H.G.\rCayan, D.R.\rSwetnam, T.W." Author Address: 'Westerling, AL (reprint author), Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA; Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA; Univ Calif, Merced, CA 95344 USA; US Geol Survey, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA; Univ Arizona, Tree Ring Res Lab, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA' DOI: 10.1126/science.1128834 Date: AUG 18 2006 ISSN: 0036-8075 Issue: 5789 Journal: Science Keywords: PONDEROSA PINE FORESTS; UNITED-STATES; VEGETATION DISTRIBUTION; CLIMATE-CHANGE; FIRE REGIMES; VARIABILITY; PERSPECTIVE; ECOSYSTEMS; ENSO Language: English Pages: 940-943 Title: Warming and earlier spring increase western U.S. forest wildfire activity Volume: 313 Year: 2006 _chapter: '["Ch. 20: Southwest FINAL","Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","RG 9 Rural","Ch. 14: Rural Communities FINAL","Ch. 13: Land Use and Land Cover Change FINAL","RF 10","Ch. 8: Ecosystems FINAL","Overview","RG 5 Southwest","Appendix 3: Climate Science FINAL","Ch. 21: Northwest FINAL"]' _record_number: 3397 _uuid: e1e1f3a0-9fea-4ad2-a3af-575716f9849e reftype: Journal Article child_publication: /article/10.1126/science.1128834 href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/e1e1f3a0-9fea-4ad2-a3af-575716f9849e.yaml identifier: e1e1f3a0-9fea-4ad2-a3af-575716f9849e uri: /reference/e1e1f3a0-9fea-4ad2-a3af-575716f9849e