--- attributes: ~ caption: 'Projected change in surface air temperature at the end of this century (2071-2099) relative to the end of the last century (1970-1999). The older generation of models (CMIP3) and SRES emissions scenarios are on the left side; the new models (CMIP5) and scenarios are on the right side. The scenarios are described under Supplemental Message 5 and in Figure 19. Differences between the old and new projections are mostly a result of the differences in the scenarios of the emission of heat-trapping gases rather than the increased complexity of the new models. None of the new scenarios are exactly the same as the old ones, although at the end of the century SRES B1 and RCP 4.5 are roughly comparable, as are SRES A1B and RCP 6.0. (Figure source: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC).' chapter: description: ~ display_name: 'Chapter 33: Appendix 3: Climate Science Supplement' doi: 10.7930/J0KS6PHH identifier: appendix-climate-science-supplement number: 33 report_identifier: nca3 sort_key: 330 title: 'Appendix 3: Climate Science Supplement' url: http://nca2014.globalchange.gov/report/appendices/climate-science-supplement chapter_identifier: appendix-climate-science-supplement cited_by: [] contributors: - display_name: 'Scientist : Kenneth Kunkel (Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC) ' href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/contributor/2522.yaml id: 2522 organization: country_code: US display_name: 'Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC' identifier: cooperative-institute-climate-satellites-nc name: 'Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC' organization_type_identifier: academic type: organization url: http://www.cicsnc.org/ organization_uri: /organization/cooperative-institute-climate-satellites-nc person: display_name: Kenneth Kunkel first_name: Kenneth id: 1025 last_name: Kunkel middle_name: E. orcid: 0000-0001-6667-7047 type: person url: http://cicsnc.org/people/kenneth-kunkel/ person_id: 1025 person_uri: /person/1025 role_type_identifier: scientist uri: /contributor/2522 create_dt: 2013-11-20T11:58:25 description: 'Projected change in surface air temperature at the end of this century (2071-2099) relative to the end of the last century (1970-1999). The older generation of models (CMIP3) and SRES emissions scenarios are on the left side; the new models (CMIP5) and scenarios are on the right side. The scenarios are described under Supplemental Message 5 and in Figure 19. Differences between the old and new projections are mostly a result of the differences in the scenarios of the emission of heat-trapping gases rather than the increased complexity of the new models. None of the new scenarios are exactly the same as the old ones, although at the end of the century SRES B1 and RCP 4.5 are roughly comparable, as are SRES A1B and RCP 6.0. (Figure source: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC).' display_name: '33.20: Projected Annually-Averaged Temperature C hange' files: - display_name: APP_Projected_Annually-Averaged_Temperature_Change_V3.png file: 7b/b7/81796ee0052cc6c0150f6fd6d302/APP_Projected_Annually-Averaged_Temperature_Change_V3.png href: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/7b/b7/81796ee0052cc6c0150f6fd6d302/APP_Projected_Annually-Averaged_Temperature_Change_V3.png identifier: 8ddeb050-431f-4937-8b50-b0f3b384b70f landing_page: ~ location: ~ mime_type: image/png sha1: d19173fe55d065697eef81a449fb25fa61eae487 size: 717678 thumbnail: 7b/b7/81796ee0052cc6c0150f6fd6d302/.thumb-8ddeb050-431f-4937-8b50-b0f3b384b70f.png thumbnail_href: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/7b/b7/81796ee0052cc6c0150f6fd6d302/.thumb-8ddeb050-431f-4937-8b50-b0f3b384b70f.png type: file uri: /file/8ddeb050-431f-4937-8b50-b0f3b384b70f url: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/7b/b7/81796ee0052cc6c0150f6fd6d302/APP_Projected_Annually-Averaged_Temperature_Change_V3.png href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/report/nca3/chapter/appendix-climate-science-supplement/figure/projected-annually-averaged-temperature-change.yaml identifier: projected-annually-averaged-temperature-change images: - attributes: 'Temperature, projections, CMIP3, SRES A2' create_dt: 2013-11-20T11:58:00 description: ~ identifier: 2ed3821a-fb34-4e8d-a382-b8fb21bb2c01 lat_max: 82.31 lat_min: 18.14 lon_max: -53.44 lon_min: -165.94 position: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2099-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 1970-01-01T00:00:00 title: 'Projected Annually-Averaged Temperature Change: SRES A2' url: ~ usage_limits: ~ - attributes: 'Temperature, projections, CMIP5, RCP8.5' create_dt: 2013-11-20T11:58:00 description: ~ identifier: 8722245c-6cca-4b2c-b944-2952f5099e21 lat_max: 82.31 lat_min: 18.14 lon_max: -53.44 lon_min: -165.94 position: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2099-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 1970-01-01T00:00:00 title: 'Projected Annually-Averaged Temperature Change: RCP 8.5' url: ~ usage_limits: ~ - attributes: 'Temperature, projections, CMIP5, RCP2.6' create_dt: 2013-11-20T11:58:00 description: ~ identifier: bc2be07d-2e5a-4fe4-8f51-195906ddb5fa lat_max: 82.31 lat_min: 18.14 lon_max: -53.44 lon_min: -165.94 position: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2099-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 1970-01-01T00:00:00 title: 'Projected Annually-Averaged Temperature Change: RCP 2.6' url: ~ usage_limits: ~ - attributes: 'Temperature, observed, projections, CMIP3, CMIP5' create_dt: 2013-11-13T10:27:45 description: ~ identifier: 2d6fb90b-7d3d-4fce-8f63-36459f80d366 lat_max: 49 lat_min: 24 lon_max: -65 lon_min: -129 position: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2099-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 1901-01-01T00:00:00 title: Observed and Projected U.S. Temperature Change url: ~ usage_limits: ~ - attributes: 'Temperature, projections, CMIP3, SRES A1B' create_dt: 2013-11-20T11:58:00 description: ~ identifier: f3dd8b46-4c3e-4d09-8f1d-36bbcc5c7f29 lat_max: 82.31 lat_min: 18.14 lon_max: -53.44 lon_min: -165.94 position: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2099-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 1970-01-01T00:00:00 title: 'Projected Annually-Averaged Temperature Change: SRES A1B' url: ~ usage_limits: ~ - attributes: 'Temperature, projections, CMIP5, RCP4.5' create_dt: 2013-11-20T11:58:00 description: ~ identifier: 8c1f74ec-5856-4feb-9237-02af6f81a30c lat_max: 82.31 lat_min: 18.14 lon_max: -53.44 lon_min: -165.94 position: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2099-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 1970-01-01T00:00:00 title: 'Projected Annually-Averaged Temperature Change: RCP 4.5' url: ~ usage_limits: ~ - attributes: 'Temperature, projections, CMIP5, RCP6.0' create_dt: 2013-11-20T11:58:00 description: ~ identifier: 5433f9f1-5710-45ea-8167-86a3cb7fe0dd lat_max: 82.31 lat_min: 18.14 lon_max: -53.44 lon_min: -165.94 position: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2099-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 1970-01-01T00:00:00 title: 'Projected Annually-Averaged Temperature Change: RCP 6.0' url: ~ usage_limits: ~ - attributes: 'Temperature, projections, CMIP3, SRES B1' create_dt: 2013-11-20T11:58:00 description: ~ identifier: fc1e25a8-c64f-41c1-9b46-5e2f69f9ed49 lat_max: 82.31 lat_min: 18.14 lon_max: -53.44 lon_min: -165.94 position: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2099-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 1970-01-01T00:00:00 title: 'Projected Annually-Averaged Temperature Change: SRES B1' url: ~ usage_limits: ~ kindred_figures: - /report/nca3/chapter/appendix-faqs/figure/observed-and-projected-us-temperature-change lat_max: ~ lat_min: ~ lon_max: ~ lon_min: ~ ordinal: 20 parents: [] references: [] report: display_name: 'Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment' report_identifier: nca3 source_citation: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC submission_dt: ~ time_end: ~ time_start: ~ title: Projected Annually-Averaged Temperature C hange type: figure uri: /report/nca3/chapter/appendix-climate-science-supplement/figure/projected-annually-averaged-temperature-change url: http://nca2014.globalchange.gov/report/appendices/climate-science-supplement/graphics/projected-annually-averaged-temperature-change usage_limits: Free to use with credit to the original figure source.