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reference : Adapting Californiaâs water system to warm vs. dry climates

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Adapting Californiaâs water system to warm vs. dry climates

Bibliographic fields
reftype	Journal Article
Abstract	This paper explores the independent and combined effects of changes in temperature and runoff volume on Californiaâs water supply and potential water management adaptations. Least-cost water supply system adaptation is explored for two climate scenarios: 1) warmer-drier conditions, and 2) warmer conditions without change in total runoff, using the CALVIN economic-engineering optimization model of Californiaâs intertied water supply system for 2050 water demands. The warm-dry hydrology was developed from downscaled effects of the GFDL CM2.1 (A2 emissions scenario) global climate model for a 30-year period centered at 2085. The warm-only scenario was developed from the warm-dry hydrology, preserving its seasonal runoff shift while maintaining mean annual flows from the historical hydrology. This separates the runoff volume and temperature effects of climate change on water availability and management adaptations. A warmer climate alone reduces water deliveries and increases costs, but much less than a warmer-drier climate, if the water supply system is well managed. Climate changes result in major changes in reservoir operations, cyclic storage of groundwater, and hydropower operations.
Author	Connell-Buck, C.R. MedellÃn-Azuara, J. Lund, J.R. Madani, K.
DOI	10.1007/s10584-011-0302-7
ISSN	0165-0009
Issue	1 Supplement
Journal	Climatic Change
Pages	133-149
Title	Adapting Californiaâs water system to warm vs. dry climates
Volume	109
Year	2012

Bibliographic identifiers
.reference_type	0
_chapter	["Ch. 3: Water Resources FINAL"]
_record_number	44
_uuid	e610dc47-1231-4cbf-b43d-083cc76aa885