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reference : Regional and seasonal response of a West Nile virus vector to climate change

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Regional and seasonal response of a West Nile virus vector to climate change
Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract Climate change will affect the abundance and seasonality of West Nile virus (WNV) vectors, altering the risk of virus transmission to humans. Using downscaled general circulation model output, we calculate a WNV vector's response to climate change across the southern United States using process-based modeling. In the eastern United States, Culex quinquefasciatus response to projected climate change displays a latitudinal and elevational gradient. Projected summer population depressions as a result of increased immature mortality and habitat drying are most severe in the south and almost absent further north; extended spring and fall survival is ubiquitous. Much of California also exhibits a bimodal pattern. Projected onset of mosquito season is delayed in the southwestern United States because of extremely dry and hot spring and summers; however, increased temperature and late summer and fall rains extend the mosquito season. These results are unique in being a broad-scale calculation of the projected impacts of climate change on a WNV vector. The results show that, despite projected widespread future warming, the future seasonal response of C. quinquefasciatus populations across the southern United States will not be homogeneous, and will depend on specific combinations of local and regional conditions.
Author Morin, C. W.; Comrie, A. C.
DOI 10.1073/pnas.1307135110
Date Sep
ISSN 1091-6490
Issue 39
Journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Keywords disease; insect; ecology; culex-quinquefasciatus diptera; united-states; change scenarios; malaria; transmission; mosquito abundance; pipiens diptera; aedes-aegypti; culicidae; temperature; model
Language English
Notes Times Cited: 0 Morin, Cory W. Comrie, Andrew C. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments program via the Climate Assessment for the Southwest program at the University of Arizona This research was supported in part by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments program via the Climate Assessment for the Southwest program at the University of Arizona. Natl acad sciences Washington
Pages 15620-15625
Title Regional and seasonal response of a West Nile virus vector to climate change
Volume 110
Year 2013
Bibliographic identifiers
.reference_type 0
_record_number 4871
_uuid d8fa9745-f20f-4681-8eec-586cc6b8d369