---
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  .reference_type: 0
  Abstract: 'Climate change may impact water resources management conditions in difficult-to-predict ways. A key challenge for water managers is how to incorporate highly uncertain information about potential climate change from global models into local- and regional-scale water management models and tools to support local planning. This paper presents a new method for developing large ensembles of local daily weather that reflect a wide range of plausible future climate change scenarios while preserving many statistical properties of local historical weather patterns. This method is demonstrated by evaluating the possible impact of climate change on the Inland Empire Utilities Agency service area in southern California. The analysis shows that climate change could impact the region, increasing outdoor water demand by up to 10% by 2040, decreasing local water supply by up to 40% by 2040, and decreasing sustainable groundwater yields by up to 15% by 2040. The range of plausible climate projections suggests the need for the region to augment its long-range water management plans to reduce its vulnerability to climate change. '
  Author: "Groves, D.G.\rYates, D.\rTebaldi, C."
  DOI: 10.1029/2008WR006964
  ISSN: 1944-7973
  Issue: 12
  Journal: Water Resources Research
  Pages: W12413
  Title: Developing and applying uncertain global climate change projections for regional water management planning
  URL: http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2008/2008WR006964.shtml
  Volume: 44
  Year: 2008
  _chapter: '["Ch. 3: Water Resources FINAL"]'
  _record_number: 514
  _uuid: c099e537-3373-4ab5-a17b-f6535c694cf3
  reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1029/2008WR006964
description: Developing and applying uncertain global climate change projections for regional water management planning
display_name: Developing and applying uncertain global climate change projections for regional water management planning
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identifier: c099e537-3373-4ab5-a17b-f6535c694cf3
publications:
  - /report/nca3/chapter/water-resources
  - /report/nca3/chapter/water-resources/finding/water-supply-demand-changes
  - /report/nca3
type: reference
uri: /reference/c099e537-3373-4ab5-a17b-f6535c694cf3