---
attrs:
  .reference_type: 0
  Abstract: 'We analyse global temperature and sea-level data for the past few decades and compare them to projections published in the third and fourth assessment reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The results show that global temperature continues to increase in good agreement with the best estimates of the IPCC, especially if we account for the effects of short-term variability due to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation, volcanic activity and solar variability. The rate of sea-level rise of the past few decades, on the other hand, is greater than projected by the IPCC models. This suggests that IPCC sea-level projections for the future may also be biased low.'
  Author: "Rahmstorf, S.\rG. Foster\rA. Cazenave"
  DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044035
  ISSN: 1748-9326
  Issue: 4
  Journal: Environmental Research Letters
  Pages: 044035
  Title: Comparing climate projections to observations up to 2011
  URL: http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/044035/pdf/1748-9326_7_4_044035.pdf
  Volume: 7
  Year: 2012
  _chapter: '["Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL"]'
  _record_number: 2577
  _uuid: ba174f74-8a34-40a1-8314-dd0fa8d77f2e
  reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044035
description: Comparing climate projections to observations up to 2011
display_name: Comparing climate projections to observations up to 2011
href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/ba174f74-8a34-40a1-8314-dd0fa8d77f2e.yaml
identifier: ba174f74-8a34-40a1-8314-dd0fa8d77f2e
publications:
  - /report/nca3/chapter/our-changing-climate
  - /report/nca3/chapter/our-changing-climate/finding/global-sea-level-rise
  - /report/nca3
type: reference
uri: /reference/ba174f74-8a34-40a1-8314-dd0fa8d77f2e