reference : Has the magnitude of floods across the USA changed with global CO2 levels?

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/reference/a7f8dbf5-3ec8-4ee1-8740-014006b72bfd
Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract Statistical relationships between annual floods at 200 long-term (85–127 years of record) streamgauges in the coterminous United States and the global mean carbon dioxide concentration (GMCO2) record are explored. The streamgauge locations are limited to those with little or no regulation or urban development. The coterminous US is divided into four large regions and stationary bootstrapping is used to evaluate if the patterns of these statistical associations are significantly different from what would be expected under the null hypothesis that flood magnitudes are independent of GMCO2. In none of the four regions defined in this study is there strong statistical evidence for flood magnitudes increasing with increasing GMCO2. One region, the southwest, showed a statistically significant negative relationship between GMCO2 and flood magnitudes. The statistical methods applied compensate both for the inter-site correlation of flood magnitudes and the shorter-term (up to a few decades) serial correlation of floods.
Author Hirsch, R.M. K.R. Ryberg
DOI 10.1080/02626667.2011.621895
ISSN 0262-6667
Issue 1
Journal Hydrological Sciences Journal
Keywords floods, ; trends, ; climate change, ; statistics, ; carbon dioxide
Pages 1-9
Title Has the magnitude of floods across the USA changed with global CO2 levels?
URL http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/02626667.2011.621895
Volume 57
Year 2012
Bibliographic identifiers
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_chapter ["Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate FINAL","RF 2","Ch. 3: Water Resources FINAL"]
_record_number 825
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