reference : Projecting future heat-related mortality under climate change scenarios: A systematic review

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/reference/618edb7b-6c2f-4bee-899f-d52bb44743a0
Bibliographic fields
reftype Journal Article
Abstract BACKGROUND: Heat-related mortality is a matter of great public health concern, especially in the light of climate change. Although many studies have found associations between high temperatures and mortality, more research is needed to project the future impacts of climate change on heat-related mortality.; OBJECTIVES: We conducted a systematic review of research and methods for projecting future heat-related mortality under climate change scenarios.; DATA SOURCES AND EXTRACTION: A literature search was conducted in August 2010, using the electronic databases PubMed, Scopus, Science Direct, Pro Quest, and Web of Science. The search was limited to peer-reviewed journal articles published in English from January 1980 through July 2010.; DATA SYNTHESIS: Fourteen studies fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Most projections showed that climate change would result in a substantial increase in heat-related mortality. Projecting heat-related mortality requires understanding historical temperature mortality relationships and considering the future changes in climate, population, and acclimatization. Further research is needed to provide a stronger theoretical framework for projections, including a better understanding of socioeconomic development, adaptation strategies, land-use patterns, air pollution, and mortality displacement.; CONCLUSIONS: Scenario-based projection research will meaningfully contribute to assessing and managing the potential impacts of climate change on heat-related mortality.
Accession Number ISI:000297711200019
Alternate Journal Environ Health Persp
Author Huang, Cunrui Barnett, Adrian Gerard Wang, Xiaoming Vaneckova, Pavla FitzGerald, Gerard Tong, Shilu
Author Address Huang, CR; Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Victoria Pk Rd, Brisbane, Qld 4059, Australia; Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Victoria Pk Rd, Brisbane, Qld 4059, Australia; Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Brisbane, Qld 4059, Australia; Queensland Univ Technol, Inst Hlth & Biomed Innovat, Brisbane, Qld 4059, Australia; Commonwealth Sci & Ind Res Org, CSIRO Climate Adaptat Flagship & CSIRO Ecosyst, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
DOI 10.1289/Ehp.1103456
Date Dec
ISSN 0091-6765
Issue 12
Journal Environmental Health Perspectives
Keywords climate change; heat wave; mortality; projection; public health; scenario; high ambient-temperature; us cities; public-health; united-states; model construction; warning systems; impacts; wave; deaths; stress
Language English
Notes 857IH; Times Cited:0; Cited References Count:94
Pages 1681-1690
Title Projecting future heat-related mortality under climate change scenarios: A systematic review
URL http://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/wp-content/uploads/119/12/ehp.1103456.pdf
Volume 119
Year 2011
Bibliographic identifiers
.reference_type 0
_chapter ["Ch. 9: Human Health FINAL","Ch. 16: Northeast FINAL","Overview"]
_record_number 3599
_uuid 618edb7b-6c2f-4bee-899f-d52bb44743a0