---
attrs:
  .reference_type: 0
  Abstract: 'Bacteria in the genus Vibrio are ubiquitous to estuarine waters worldwide and are often the dominant genus recovered from these environments. This genus contains several potentially pathogenic species, including Vibrio vulnificus, Vibrio cholerae, Vibrio parahaemolyticus, and Vibrio alginolyticus. These bacteria have short generation times, as low as 20-30 min, and can thus respond rapidly to changing environmental conditions. A five-parameter mechanistic model was generated based on environmental processes including hydrodynamics, growth, and death rates of Vibrio bacteria to predict total Vibrio abundance in the Neuse River Estuary of eastern North Carolina. Additionally an improved statistical model was developed using the easily monitored parameters of temperature and salinity. This updated model includes data that covers more than eight years of constant bacterial monitoring, and incorporates extreme weather events such as droughts, storms, and floods. These models can be used to identify days in which bacterial abundance might coincide with increased health risks.'
  Author: 'Froelich, B.; Bowen, J.; Gonzalez, R.; Snedeker, A.; Noble, R.'
  DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2013.06.050
  Date: Oct 1
  ISSN: 1879-2448
  Issue: 15
  Journal: Water Research
  Keywords: '*Models, Statistical; Rivers/*microbiology; Temperature; Vibrio/*physiology; Forecast; ModMon; Monitoring; Salinity'
  Language: eng
  Notes: "1879-2448 Froelich, Brett Bowen, James Gonzalez, Raul Snedeker, Alexandra Noble, Rachel Journal Article Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. England Water Res. 2013 Oct 1;47(15):5783-93. doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2013.06.050. Epub 2013 Jul 11."
  Pages: 5783-5793
  Title: Mechanistic and statistical models of total Vibrio abundance in the Neuse River Estuary
  Volume: 47
  Year: 2013
  _record_number: 19050
  _uuid: 30bf63e2-100d-4aa8-b90f-4fe88523fbb1
  reftype: Journal Article
child_publication: /article/10.1016/j.watres.2013.06.050
description: Mechanistic and statistical models of total Vibrio abundance in the Neuse River Estuary
display_name: Mechanistic and statistical models of total Vibrio abundance in the Neuse River Estuary
href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/reference/30bf63e2-100d-4aa8-b90f-4fe88523fbb1.yaml
identifier: 30bf63e2-100d-4aa8-b90f-4fe88523fbb1
publications:
  - /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/water-related-illnesses
  - /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016
type: reference
uri: /reference/30bf63e2-100d-4aa8-b90f-4fe88523fbb1