---
attributes: 'Temperature, projections, CMIP5, RCP 6.0'
cited_by: []
contributors:
  - display_name: 'Analyst : Andrew Buddenberg (Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC) '
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    organization:
      country_code: US
      display_name: 'Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC'
      identifier: cooperative-institute-climate-satellites-nc
      name: 'Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC'
      organization_type_identifier: academic
      type: organization
      url: http://www.cicsnc.org/
    organization_uri: /organization/cooperative-institute-climate-satellites-nc
    person:
      display_name: Andrew Buddenberg
      first_name: Andrew
      id: 1948
      last_name: Buddenberg
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      orcid: 0000-0003-2047-6527
      type: person
      url: ~
    person_id: 1948
    person_uri: /person/1948
    role_type_identifier: analyst
    uri: /contributor/3258
create_dt: 2013-11-19T16:38:00
description: ~
display_name: e4ee3f29-b2f6-48c5-975a-3a09cb5bb4c4
figures:
  - attributes: ~
    caption: 'The largest uncertainty in projecting climate change beyond the next few decades is the level of heat-trapping gas emissions. The most recent model projections (CMIP5) take into account a wider range of options with regard to human behavior, including a lower scenario than has been considered before (RCP 2.6). This scenario assumes rapid reductions in emissions – more than 70% cuts from current levels by 2050 and further large decreases by 2100 – and the corresponding smaller amount of warming. On the higher end, the scenarios include one that assumes continued increases in emissions (RCP 8.5) and the corresponding greater amount of warming. Also shown are temperature changes for the intermediate scenarios RCP 4.5 (which is most similar to B1) and RCP 6.0 (which is most similar to A1B; see Appendix 3: Climate Science Supplement). Projections show change in average temperature in the later part of this century (2071-2099) relative to the late part of last century (1970-1999). (Figure source: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC).'
    chapter_identifier: our-changing-climate
    create_dt: 2014-04-09T15:24:54
    identifier: projected-temperature-change-by-20712099-cmip5-models
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    ordinal: 9
    report_identifier: nca3
    source_citation: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC
    submission_dt: ~
    time_end: ~
    time_start: ~
    title: Projected Temperature Change by 2071-2099 (CMIP5 models)
    url: http://nca2014.globalchange.gov/report/our-changing-climate/recent-us-temperature-trends/graphics/newer-simulations-projected
    usage_limits: Free to use with credit to the original figure source.
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href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/image/e4ee3f29-b2f6-48c5-975a-3a09cb5bb4c4.yaml
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parents: []
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references: []
submission_dt: ~
time_end: 2050-12-31T23:59:59
time_start: 1970-01-01T00:00:00
title: 'Newer Simulations for Projected Temperature (CMIP5 Models): RCP 6.0'
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