---
attributes: ~
cited_by: []
contributors:
  - display_name: 'Scientist : Xungang Yin (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Climatic Data Center) '
    href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/contributor/2525.yaml
    id: 2525
    organization:
      country_code: US
      display_name: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Climatic Data Center
      identifier: noaa-national-climatic-data-center
      name: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Climatic Data Center
      organization_type_identifier: federal
      type: organization
      url: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov
    organization_uri: /organization/noaa-national-climatic-data-center
    person:
      display_name: Xungang Yin
      first_name: Xungang
      id: 1457
      last_name: Yin
      middle_name: ~
      orcid: ~
      type: person
      url: ~
    person_id: 1457
    person_uri: /person/1457
    role_type_identifier: scientist
    uri: /contributor/2525
create_dt: 2012-09-19T16:43:13
description: ~
display_name: b5ab5f96-26ab-45d6-b282-646a4663f5ab
figures:
  - attributes: ~
    caption: 'Average change in soil moisture compared to 1971-2000, as projected for the middle of this century (2041-2070) and late this century (2071-2100) under two emissions scenarios, a lower scenario (B1) and a higher scenario (A2).<tbib>0b3b2ff4-9ee7-45fe-8d0c-895076013715</tbib><sup>,</sup><tbib>f312de7c-ebe1-447f-93c5-c2ddec528464</tbib><sup>,</sup><tbib>a71d11d2-beed-43b3-8417-372422c035f6</tbib><sup>,</sup><tbib>dcf754dd-dd36-474c-8f78-981b0bc507d5</tbib><sup>,</sup><tbib>ec534395-9d19-446f-90c4-a181c9ed31f0</tbib><sup>,</sup><tbib>66b53949-2796-4cb3-ba86-0d0509f128fb</tbib><sup>,</sup><tbib>9c0b6ae6-4bb4-4a27-b6ec-1b0c2dc1cc93</tbib> The future drying of soils in most areas simulated by this sophisticated hydrologic model (Variable Infiltration Capacity or VIC model) is consistent with the future drought increases using the simpler Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) metric. Only the western U.S. is displayed because model simulations were only run for this area. (Figure source: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC).'
    chapter_identifier: our-changing-climate
    create_dt: 2012-09-19T16:43:13
    identifier: projected-changes-in-soil-moisture-for-the-western-us
    lat_max: ~
    lat_min: ~
    lon_max: ~
    lon_min: ~
    ordinal: 22
    report_identifier: nca3
    source_citation: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC
    submission_dt: ~
    time_end: ~
    time_start: ~
    title: Projected Changes in Soil Moisture for the Western U.S.
    url: http://nca2014.globalchange.gov/highlights/report-findings/future-climate/graphics/projected-changes-soil-moisture
    usage_limits: Free to use with credit to the original figure source.
files:
  - display_name: cs_soil_moisture_mid-century_a2.png
    file: 55/2d/880fd8bcd307162fa40eefb689d3/cs_soil_moisture_mid-century_a2.png
    href: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/55/2d/880fd8bcd307162fa40eefb689d3/cs_soil_moisture_mid-century_a2.png
    identifier: 986d0de5-2c4d-4110-8049-f7725c02c7f4
    landing_page: ~
    location: ~
    mime_type: image/png
    sha1: d48f09a24b083d7c67f877964e4de233d37c8ded
    size: 73937
    thumbnail: 55/2d/880fd8bcd307162fa40eefb689d3/.thumb-986d0de5-2c4d-4110-8049-f7725c02c7f4.png
    thumbnail_href: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/55/2d/880fd8bcd307162fa40eefb689d3/.thumb-986d0de5-2c4d-4110-8049-f7725c02c7f4.png
    type: file
    uri: /file/986d0de5-2c4d-4110-8049-f7725c02c7f4
    url: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/55/2d/880fd8bcd307162fa40eefb689d3/cs_soil_moisture_mid-century_a2.png
href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/image/b5ab5f96-26ab-45d6-b282-646a4663f5ab.yaml
identifier: b5ab5f96-26ab-45d6-b282-646a4663f5ab
lat_max: 50
lat_min: 25
lon_max: -90
lon_min: -125
parents: []
position: ~
references: []
submission_dt: ~
time_end: 2099-12-31T23:59:59
time_start: 1971-01-01T00:00:00
title: 'Pattern of Projected Changes in Soil Moisture - Mid-Century Changes: Higher Emissions (A2)'
type: image
uri: /image/b5ab5f96-26ab-45d6-b282-646a4663f5ab
url: ~
usage_limits: ~