---
attributes: 'Temperature, projections, CMIP5, RCP4.5'
cited_by: []
contributors:
  - display_name: 'Analyst : Andrew Buddenberg (Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC) '
    href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/contributor/3258.yaml
    id: 3258
    organization:
      country_code: US
      display_name: 'Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC'
      identifier: cooperative-institute-climate-satellites-nc
      name: 'Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC'
      organization_type_identifier: academic
      type: organization
      url: http://www.cicsnc.org/
    organization_uri: /organization/cooperative-institute-climate-satellites-nc
    person:
      display_name: Andrew Buddenberg
      first_name: Andrew
      id: 1948
      last_name: Buddenberg
      middle_name: ~
      orcid: 0000-0003-2047-6527
      type: person
      url: ~
    person_id: 1948
    person_uri: /person/1948
    role_type_identifier: analyst
    uri: /contributor/3258
create_dt: 2013-11-20T11:58:00
description: ~
display_name: 8c1f74ec-5856-4feb-9237-02af6f81a30c
figures:
  - attributes: ~
    caption: 'Projected change in surface air temperature at the end of this century (2071-2099) relative to the end of the last century (1970-1999). The older generation of models (CMIP3) and SRES emissions scenarios are on the left side; the new models (CMIP5) and scenarios are on the right side. The scenarios are described under Supplemental Message 5 and in Figure 19. Differences between the old and new projections are mostly a result of the differences in the scenarios of the emission of heat-trapping gases rather than the increased complexity of the new models. None of the new scenarios are exactly the same as the old ones, although at the end of the century SRES B1 and RCP 4.5 are roughly comparable, as are SRES A1B and RCP 6.0. (Figure source: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC).'
    chapter_identifier: appendix-climate-science-supplement
    create_dt: 2013-11-20T11:58:25
    identifier: projected-annually-averaged-temperature-change
    lat_max: ~
    lat_min: ~
    lon_max: ~
    lon_min: ~
    ordinal: 20
    report_identifier: nca3
    source_citation: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC
    submission_dt: ~
    time_end: ~
    time_start: ~
    title: Projected Annually-Averaged Temperature C hange
    url: http://nca2014.globalchange.gov/report/appendices/climate-science-supplement/graphics/projected-annually-averaged-temperature-change
    usage_limits: Free to use with credit to the original figure source.
files:
  - display_name: rcp45.png
    file: be/bf/67a0dd4a942ee960eaf45e83b1c5/rcp45.png
    href: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/be/bf/67a0dd4a942ee960eaf45e83b1c5/rcp45.png
    identifier: 4769964e-eeb8-4c2f-b6c5-2306b8957ad1
    landing_page: ~
    location: ~
    mime_type: image/png
    sha1: dad042bd676f477cdfa63c2b443698529b3060c5
    size: 166438
    thumbnail: be/bf/67a0dd4a942ee960eaf45e83b1c5/.thumb-4769964e-eeb8-4c2f-b6c5-2306b8957ad1.png
    thumbnail_href: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/be/bf/67a0dd4a942ee960eaf45e83b1c5/.thumb-4769964e-eeb8-4c2f-b6c5-2306b8957ad1.png
    type: file
    uri: /file/4769964e-eeb8-4c2f-b6c5-2306b8957ad1
    url: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/be/bf/67a0dd4a942ee960eaf45e83b1c5/rcp45.png
href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/image/8c1f74ec-5856-4feb-9237-02af6f81a30c.yaml
identifier: 8c1f74ec-5856-4feb-9237-02af6f81a30c
lat_max: 82.31
lat_min: 18.14
lon_max: -53.44
lon_min: -165.94
parents: []
position: ~
references: []
submission_dt: ~
time_end: 2099-12-31T23:59:59
time_start: 1970-01-01T00:00:00
title: 'Projected Annually-Averaged Temperature Change: RCP 4.5'
type: image
uri: /image/8c1f74ec-5856-4feb-9237-02af6f81a30c
url: ~
usage_limits: ~