---
attributes: ~
cited_by: []
contributors: []
create_dt: ~
description: ~
display_name: 777d5ad2-c46b-4f5d-a3ff-cd659ac295d1
figures:
  - attributes: ~
    caption: 'Warm colors on this map show where output from NOAA’s GFDL-FLOR model correlates positively (yellow = strongest correlation) with seasonal observations of tropical cyclone activity, demonstrating the model’s capacity for predicting such phenomena. (Source: Adapted from Vecchi et al., 2014)'
    chapter_identifier: crosscutting-priorities-serve-science-society
    create_dt: ~
    identifier: seasonal-forecasting-tropical-cyclone-activity
    lat_max: 55
    lat_min: 0
    lon_max: 20
    lon_min: 100
    ordinal: 20
    report_identifier: usgcrp-ocpfy2016
    source_citation: 'Adapted from Figure 5 of this paper: Vecchi, G.A., T. Delworth, R. Gudgel, S. Kapnick, A. Rosati, A.T. Wittenberg, F. Zeng, W. Anderson, V. Balaji, K. Dixon, L. Jia, H.-S. Kim, L. Krishnamurthy, R. Msadek, W.F. Stern, S.D. Underwood, G. Villarini, X. Yang, and S. Zhang. 2014. On the seasonal forecasting of regional tropical cyclone activity. Journal of Climate 27 (21), 7994–8016'
    submission_dt: ~
    time_end: ~
    time_start: ~
    title: Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone activity
    url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00158.1
    usage_limits: ~
files:
  - display_name: HL31_HIGHER_RES_seasonal-prediction-cyclones-NOAA-GFDL-FLOR.pdf
    file: 50/05/60f7c769325412b3de939f344681/HL31_HIGHER_RES_seasonal-prediction-cyclones-NOAA-GFDL-FLOR.pdf
    href: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/50/05/60f7c769325412b3de939f344681/HL31_HIGHER_RES_seasonal-prediction-cyclones-NOAA-GFDL-FLOR.pdf
    identifier: ffe041f8-a0ca-4da3-a517-f3a7295d9463
    landing_page: ~
    location: ~
    mime_type: application/pdf
    sha1: 2f25a4f423f30732fdfe06dcd3b73abab3c17502
    size: 162268
    thumbnail: 50/05/60f7c769325412b3de939f344681/.thumb-ffe041f8-a0ca-4da3-a517-f3a7295d9463.png
    thumbnail_href: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/50/05/60f7c769325412b3de939f344681/.thumb-ffe041f8-a0ca-4da3-a517-f3a7295d9463.png
    type: file
    uri: /file/ffe041f8-a0ca-4da3-a517-f3a7295d9463
    url: http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/50/05/60f7c769325412b3de939f344681/HL31_HIGHER_RES_seasonal-prediction-cyclones-NOAA-GFDL-FLOR.pdf
href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/image/777d5ad2-c46b-4f5d-a3ff-cd659ac295d1.yaml
identifier: 777d5ad2-c46b-4f5d-a3ff-cd659ac295d1
lat_max: 55
lat_min: 0
lon_max: 20
lon_min: 100
parents: []
position: ~
references: []
submission_dt: ~
time_end: ~
time_start: ~
title: Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone activity
type: image
uri: /image/777d5ad2-c46b-4f5d-a3ff-cd659ac295d1
url: ~
usage_limits: Copyright protected. Obtain permission from the original figure source.