--- cited_by: - publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/water-related-illnesses/finding/seasonal-geographic-changes-waternborne-illness-risk publication_type: finding reference: /reference/1dd93561-606a-43ea-a054-c2626750c5f0 - publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/water-related-illnesses publication_type: chapter reference: /reference/1dd93561-606a-43ea-a054-c2626750c5f0 - publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 publication_type: report reference: /reference/1dd93561-606a-43ea-a054-c2626750c5f0 contributors: [] description: 'The decoupling of trophic interactions is potentially one of the most severe consequences of climate warming. In lakes and oceans the timing of phytoplankton blooms affects competition within the plankton community as well as food-web interactions with zooplankton and fish. Using Upper Lake Constance as an example, we present a model-based analysis that predicts that in a future warmer climate, the onset of the spring phytoplankton bloom will occur earlier in the year than it does at present. This is a result of the earlier occurrence of the transition from strong to weak vertical mixing in spring, and of the associated earlier onset of stratification. According to our simulations a shift in the timing of phytoplankton growth resulting from a consistently warmer climate will exceed that resulting from a single unusually warm year. The numerical simulations are complemented by a statistical analysis of long-term data from Upper Lake Constance which demonstrates that oligotrophication has a negligible effect on the timing of phytoplankton growth in spring and that an early onset of the spring phytoplankton bloom is associated with high air temperatures and low wind speeds. ' display_name: Earlier onset of the spring phytoplankton bloom in lakes of the temperate zone in a warmer climate doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01412.x files: [] href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/article/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01412.x.yaml identifier: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01412.x journal_identifier: global-change-biology journal_pages: 1898-1909 journal_vol: 13 notes: ~ parents: - display_name: "Finding 6.1 of 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment'" reference: /reference/1dd93561-606a-43ea-a054-c2626750c5f0 relationship: cito:isCitedBy uri: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/water-related-illnesses/finding/seasonal-geographic-changes-waternborne-illness-risk - display_name: "Chapter 6: Climate Impacts on Water-Related Illnesses (in 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment')" reference: /reference/1dd93561-606a-43ea-a054-c2626750c5f0 relationship: cito:isCitedBy uri: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/water-related-illnesses - display_name: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' reference: /reference/1dd93561-606a-43ea-a054-c2626750c5f0 relationship: cito:isCitedBy uri: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 references: [] title: Earlier onset of the spring phytoplankton bloom in lakes of the temperate zone in a warmer climate type: article uri: /article/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01412.x url: ~ year: 2007