--- cited_by: - publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/water-related-illnesses publication_type: chapter reference: /reference/30bf63e2-100d-4aa8-b90f-4fe88523fbb1 - publication: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 publication_type: report reference: /reference/30bf63e2-100d-4aa8-b90f-4fe88523fbb1 contributors: - display_name: 'Author : Brett Froelich (The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Institute of Marine Sciences) ' href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/contributor/21448.yaml id: 21448 organization: country_code: US display_name: The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Institute of Marine Sciences identifier: university-north-carolina-chapel-hill-institute-marine-sciences name: The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Institute of Marine Sciences organization_type_identifier: academic type: organization url: http://ims.unc.edu/ organization_uri: /organization/university-north-carolina-chapel-hill-institute-marine-sciences person: display_name: Brett Froelich first_name: Brett id: 11629 last_name: Froelich middle_name: ~ orcid: 0000-0003-0402-2357 type: person url: http://noble.web.unc.edu/team/brett-froelich/ person_id: 11629 person_uri: /person/11629 role_type_identifier: author uri: /contributor/21448 - display_name: 'Author : James Bowen (The University of North Carolina at Charlotte Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering) ' href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/contributor/21401.yaml id: 21401 organization: country_code: US display_name: The University of North Carolina at Charlotte Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering identifier: university-north-carolina-charlotte-department-civil-environmental-engineering name: The University of North Carolina at Charlotte Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering organization_type_identifier: academic type: organization url: http://cee.uncc.edu/ organization_uri: /organization/university-north-carolina-charlotte-department-civil-environmental-engineering person: display_name: James Bowen first_name: James id: 11616 last_name: Bowen middle_name: ~ orcid: 0000-0002-1671-4011 type: person url: http://coefs.uncc.edu/jdbowen/ person_id: 11616 person_uri: /person/11616 role_type_identifier: author uri: /contributor/21401 - display_name: 'Author : Raul Gonzalez (The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering) ' href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/contributor/21402.yaml id: 21402 organization: country_code: US display_name: The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering identifier: university-north-carolina-chapel-hill-department-environmental-sciences-engineering name: The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering organization_type_identifier: academic type: organization url: http://sph.unc.edu/envr/environmental-sciences-and-engineering-home/ organization_uri: /organization/university-north-carolina-chapel-hill-department-environmental-sciences-engineering person: display_name: Raul Gonzalez first_name: Raul id: 11617 last_name: Gonzalez middle_name: ~ orcid: ~ type: person url: ~ person_id: 11617 person_uri: /person/11617 role_type_identifier: author uri: /contributor/21402 - display_name: 'Author : Alexandra Snedeker (The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Institute for the Environment) ' href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/contributor/21403.yaml id: 21403 organization: country_code: US display_name: The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Institute for the Environment identifier: university-north-carolina-chapel-hill-institute-environment name: The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Institute for the Environment organization_type_identifier: research type: organization url: http://ie.unc.edu/ organization_uri: /organization/university-north-carolina-chapel-hill-institute-environment person: display_name: Alexandra Snedeker first_name: Alexandra id: 11618 last_name: Snedeker middle_name: ~ orcid: ~ type: person url: ~ person_id: 11618 person_uri: /person/11618 role_type_identifier: author uri: /contributor/21403 - display_name: 'Author : Rachel Noble (The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Institute of Marine Sciences) ' href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/contributor/21404.yaml id: 21404 organization: country_code: US display_name: The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Institute of Marine Sciences identifier: university-north-carolina-chapel-hill-institute-marine-sciences name: The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Institute of Marine Sciences organization_type_identifier: academic type: organization url: http://ims.unc.edu/ organization_uri: /organization/university-north-carolina-chapel-hill-institute-marine-sciences person: display_name: Rachel Noble first_name: Rachel id: 11619 last_name: Noble middle_name: ~ orcid: ~ type: person url: http://noble.web.unc.edu/team/rachel-noble/ person_id: 11619 person_uri: /person/11619 role_type_identifier: author uri: /contributor/21404 description: 'Bacteria in the genus Vibrio are ubiquitous to estuarine waters worldwide and are often the dominant genus recovered from these environments. This genus contains several potentially pathogenic species, including Vibrio vulnificus, Vibrio cholerae, Vibrio parahaemolyticus, and Vibrio alginolyticus. These bacteria have short generation times, as low as 20-30 min, and can thus respond rapidly to changing environmental conditions. A five-parameter mechanistic model was generated based on environmental processes including hydrodynamics, growth, and death rates of Vibrio bacteria to predict total Vibrio abundance in the Neuse River Estuary of eastern North Carolina. Additionally an improved statistical model was developed using the easily monitored parameters of temperature and salinity. This updated model includes data that covers more than eight years of constant bacterial monitoring, and incorporates extreme weather events such as droughts, storms, and floods. These models can be used to identify days in which bacterial abundance might coincide with increased health risks. ' display_name: Mechanistic and statistical models of total Vibrio abundance in the Neuse River Estuary doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2013.06.050 files: [] href: http://52.38.26.42:8080/article/10.1016/j.watres.2013.06.050.yaml identifier: 10.1016/j.watres.2013.06.050 journal_identifier: water-research journal_pages: 5783-5793 journal_vol: 47 notes: ~ parents: - display_name: "Chapter 6: Climate Impacts on Water-Related Illnesses (in 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment')" reference: /reference/30bf63e2-100d-4aa8-b90f-4fe88523fbb1 relationship: cito:isCitedBy uri: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/water-related-illnesses - display_name: 'The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment' reference: /reference/30bf63e2-100d-4aa8-b90f-4fe88523fbb1 relationship: cito:isCitedBy uri: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 references: [] title: Mechanistic and statistical models of total Vibrio abundance in the Neuse River Estuary type: article uri: /article/10.1016/j.watres.2013.06.050 url: ~ year: 2013